Social Issues & Demographics

In nations both rich and poor, families are having fewer children. As people move to crowded urban areas, and as women gain more educational and economic opportunities, countries are beginning to see their populations decline. This could have grave consequences for their economies.

Senator John McCain has written that Pete Peterson's new book "provides a clear, concise and unvarnished look at America's political and fiscal deterioration." Former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker praises it for showing how "our fiscal profligacy and growing dependence on foreign savings cannot be sustained." Former Senator Bob Kerrey notes that, "

To understand the most pressing crisis facing the future of the Middle East, place a job advertisement in a local newspaper. In Tehran, an ad seeking a clerk for a Western company prompted more than 1,000 applications. Included among them: a PhD in economics, a medical doctor, dozens of software engineers and hundreds of Iran's top university graduates. In Cairo, a senior accountant told me he was shocked at the highly educated who applied for a low-level position with his company.

Central Los Angeles is getting a makeover. From Koreatown to Silver Lake, Echo Park to downtown, the city's core is becoming aggressively hip. It's also becoming noticeably whiter. After 40 years of inexorable decline, central L.A.'s white population is edging up.

This month, the Census Bureau announced that the U.S. Latino population was growing four times faster than the nation at large. In May, the National Assn. of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials projected that the Latino electorate had grown 17% over the last four years, and that nearly 7 million would cast ballots in November. Despite these gains, however, Latinos are not receiving the kind of media and political attention they did just four years ago. Has the Latino moment come and gone?

The Wrong Reading

You awaken to news of a morning traffic jam. Leaving home early for a doctor's appointment, you nonetheless arrive too late to find parking. After waiting two hours for a 15-minute consultation, you wait again to have your prescription filled. All the while, you worry about the work you've missed because so many other people would line up to take your job. Returning home to the evening news, you watch throngs of youths throwing stones somewhere in the Middle East, and a feature on disappearing farmland in the Midwest.

When Europeans speak of integration, they are usually referring to nations, not immigrants; political entities, not individuals. Last Saturday, the European Union celebrated the integration of 10 new countries into what is now the largest trading bloc in the world. From Ljubljana to Lisbon, officials heralded a new era of peaceful and prosperous international cooperation. But if Europe is to continue to thrive, Europeans must begin to understand integration in a whole new way.

Selected reviews of The Empty Cradle are featured below:

The Dallas Morning News

Sunday, August 22, 2004
"We're not facing a nuclear war or a population bomb, we're facing a depopulation bomb. This isn't just Europe. It's the entire world." That was one of the first things Phillip Longman said when I called to talk about his book, The Empty Cradle: How Falling Birthrates Threaten World Prosperity (And What to Do About It) (Basic Books, $26).

A NEW CHALLENGE FACES THE WORLD. It is not a problem that can be photographed, reduced to a sound bite, or rendered into the conventional formulations of Left and Right. It has everything to do with sex, death, money, and power, yet is rarely the subject of a headline.