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Economic Soufflé at Risk of Implosion

  • By Jay Pelosky
September 17, 2014
Europe is stagnating and global demand remains inadequate
The prospect of higher interest rates remains the bête noire of financial markets, judging by their recent performance. Weak growth and low inflation data have spurred strong stock and bond market gains, more than offsetting July’s sell-off. Rather than worrying about sharply higher rates, though, investors should focus on the risk of a flatlining global economy.
The state of the global economy resembles nothing so much as a soufflé on the brink of implosion.

Emerging Market Portfolio Globalization:

  • By Jay Pelosky
July 17, 2014
In 2014 emerging markets have shown remarkable resiliency despite negative news and record foreign investor outflows. Jay Pelosky, founder of J2Z Advisory LLC, suggests the answer lies with financial asset expansion in the emerging economies themselves—or what Pelosky calls “a rising tide of middle-class wealth.”

What Would Minsky See Today?

  • By Daniel Alpert
June 21, 2014
Economist Hyman Minsky had the rare ability to stand back from conventional wisdom and see beyond the current market’s irrationality. In the closing dinner remarks at the Levy Economic Institute’s Hyman P. Minsky Summer Seminar, Daniel Alpert, a founding member of the World Economic Roundtable and author of “The Age of Oversupply: Confronting the Greatest Challenge to the Global Economy,” took up the question  “What would Minsky see today”?

The Emerging Power of Big Data

  • By Emerging Leaders, The Chicago Council on Global Affairs
June 17, 2014
Big data is transforming the commercial marketplace but it also has the potential to reshape government affairs and urban development.  In a new report from the Emerging Leaders Program at the Chicago Council of Global Affairs, Lincoln S. Ellis, a founding member of the World Economic Roundtable, and other authors from the Emerging Leaders Program, explore how big data can be used by mega-cities to meet the challenges they face in an age of resource constraints to improve the lives of their residents.

America's Debt Problem

  • By
  • Joshua Freedman,
  • Sherle R. Schwenninger,
  • New America Foundation
June 16, 2014

Over time, the US economy has become more dependent on debt to fuel economic growth. American households, in particular, have become dependent on debt to maintain their standard of living in the face of stagnant wages. Rising levels of private debt have also fueled consecutive investment asset bubbles, whose bursting not only caused the Great Recession but also left a large and burdensome debt overhang that is still being dealt with today.

The U.S. Economy After The Great Recession

  • By
  • Sherle R. Schwenninger,
  • Samuel Sherraden,
  • New America Foundation
March 4, 2014
The bursting of the housing bubble in 2008 plunged the U.S. economy into a serious crisis, leaving American households with a huge debt overhang and the economy with a large gap in output and employment. This report reviews the economy’s deleveraging and recovery experience more than five years after the crash. It explores the following questions:  
  • How far has the economy come in the deleveraging process? Is private sector debt now at a sustainable level or do households and the financial sector continue to need to pay down debt?  
  • To what extent has the U.S.

Arab Uprisings & Social Justice

  • By Abdulla Zaid, New America Foundation; Hassan Sherry, Arab NGO Network for Development; Mahinour El-Badrawi, Egyptian Center for Economic and Social Rights; and Joshua Haber, New America Foundation
February 27, 2014
Economies of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region are the most heavily subsidized in the world.

Growth Must Deliver Or Policy Must Change

February 21, 2014
by Jay Pelosky

Stock and bond market volatility combined with data disappointments have brought the 2014 global growth recovery story to a fork in the road. Either growth delivers or policy reversals will be required. For investors and policy makers alike the bar has been raised.

Read the whole op-ed at The Financial Times.

Productivity and the Health Care Workforce

  • By
  • Shannon Brownlee,
  • Joe Colucci,
  • New America Foundation
  • and Thom Walsh, Dartmouth Center for Health Care Delivery Science
October 2, 2013
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