Rob Atkinson is the founder and president of the Information Technology and Innovation Foundation. Click here for the full text of the article in question; or here for the comments of Jeff Madrick, editor of Challenge Magazine.
Bernard Schwartz and Sherle Schwenninger provide a much
needed correction to current economic thinking by pointing out that current
thinking on stimulus policy is right out of the Keynesian economics playbook,
focused on spurring consumption. They
rightly propose a stimulus package out of the innovation economics playback
that would spur investment leading to job creation in the short run and higher
productivity growth in the long run.
However, as Washington consider such policies, it's
important to not fall sway to some of the thinking that has predominate the
left in recent years that holds that productivity growth should no longer a top
priority because it doesn't benefit workers any more. There are two problems with this view. First, it leads us away from the kinds of
policies proposed here designed to spur investments that raise
productivity. Second, it's just plain
wrong. As noted labor economist Steve
Rose has shown in an ITIF report,
productivity growth over the last 30 years has helped average American workers
and there is no reason to believe that it won't continue to do so in the
future. This isn't to say that income
inequality has not gone up and should not be addressed, but without higher
productivity it will be difficult if not impossible to improve the standard of
living of average Americans. As a result
the focus of economic policies should not just be on creating high value jobs,
although that is important, but on also boosting productivity throughout the
economy, including the productivity of current low-value jobs so that they can
pay more....
The authors propose a bold and needed plan for economic
recovery and growth that rightly focuses on the key role that public investment
can play in that process. I would
perhaps go further, and expand the definition of public investment to include
not just public spending on things that spur long-term growth, but also public
tax expenditures (e.g., incentives) that spur the private sector to make the
kinds of infrastructural investments that spur innovation and productivity of
the U.S.
economy.
In this regard, for example, the U.S. would benefit from a more
robust broadband infrastructure network.
As the Information Technology and Innovation Foundation has documented the U.S. lags many
other nations in broadband and one reason is that a number of other nations,
including Sweden and Japan, two nations the authors highlight, have put in
place proactive national policies to spur broadband deployment and
adoption. But they largely didn't fund
the building of public networks, they provided incentives to private
telecommunications operators to extend and upgrade their own networks. The U.S.
needs to do the same, and as ITIF has proposed, one way to do this
would be to allow broadband providers to "expense" in the first year
investments in broadband either in places that currently don't have broadband
or that are significantly faster than the current average U.S.
speeds. In this sense, spending on
infrastructure, whether it is by the government (e.g., building a public road)
or by the private sector (expanding a broadband network), will have both short
term stimulus effects and long-term productivity growth effects.
Later in this piece, the authors rightly point to the
critical need to increase U.S.
technology competitiveness so that they can export more. Our tax code could help with that
process. One place to start would be to
expand the R&D tax credit. In 1992
the U.S.
had the most generous tax treatment of R&D in the world. Today we have fallen to around 15th
among the 30 OECD nations as most nations now understand that attracting and
growing R&D is a key to their future economic growth. In contrast, Congress debates over whether to
even extend the current credit. But this
is fiddling while Rome
burns. Instead, we to significantly expand and reform of the credit....
The authors are right to point out that a reversal of
the trade deficit promises to be a very effective economic stimulus. In fact, given that the U.S. ran an
$800 billion goods deficit last year, there is a lot of stimulus on the table
if we eliminated the trade deficit.
Obviously this hole cannot be reversed overnight, but we can and should
set a goal to bring the trade deficit into balance in the moderate term. One way to do this is as the authors propose;
to encourage other nations to stop propping up their currencies and to spur
domestic demand. But we need to go even
farther and get much tougher working to reduce widespread mercantilist trade policies
these nations have put in place, many directly focused on gaining competitive
advantage in the very technology sectors the authors rightly argue are the core
U.S.
strengths.
And here at home a key leg of that policy has to be for
the U.S.
government to not to defend the dollar, but rather to let the market naturally
dictate its continued decline, especially vis--vis unfairly propped up Asian
currencies. When you are running close
to an $800 billion trade deficit (and in the process adding to the debt that
the next generation of Americans will have to pay), the only place for the
dollar to go is down.