For all their Americaphilia, Indians consider the enormous sums the U.S. sends to Pakistan to fight Islamist terrorism to be something between a cruel joke and a slap in the face.
There's something very poignant about the photographs of a
beaming Hillary Clinton in India.
Having fractured her elbow last month, the secretary of State has been
undergoing a grueling regime of physical therapy, and until recently she was
wearing a stylish sling. One has to assume that Clinton is still in pain, yet she's managed
to put on a valiant show for the Indian throngs who've greeted her. When Clinton first visited India in 1995, she was festooned
with garlands at every stop. As a country with its own tradition of formidable
female leadership, the first lady struck a chord with the Indian masses.
Indeed, the massive success of that visit may have contributed to the sense
that Clinton
could enter the international fray in her own right. This time, however, the
Indian throngs haven't been entirely pleased with Clinton.
For most Americans, India
is a country shrouded in mystery, full of bearded swamis, snake-charming
tricksters, and software-designing geniuses who spend all their waking hours
plotting how to steal U.S.
jobs. But in a dramatic turnaround from the not-so-distant 1980s, when India was a staunch ally of the USSR and the burning of American flags was the
country's second most popular source of warmth after the sun, Indians are
terribly fond of America.
They are so besotted, in fact, that a majority of Indians adored George W.
Bush, whose appeal didn't travel well as a general rule, as a rare
terrorist-crushing statesman with the guts to take on radical Islam. It helps
that India, like the United States, has been on the receiving end of
Islamist terrorism for years, most spectacularly during last year's terrifying
assault on the commercial heart of Mumbai,
India's biggest
city. Clinton gave a moving tribute to the
victims of the attack just as news reports of a new attack in Indonesia
continued to unfold. Interestingly, India's experience with terrorism
has led to a slight wrinkle in the ever-expanding embrace between the world's
two largest democracies. While the rest of the world has celebrated the Obama
White House and its soothingly diplomatic tones with wild enthusiasm, India has been
slightly wary, sensing that the new administration's emphasis on sleeping with
erstwhile enemies reflects a distinctively American ingenuousness.
During the transition, for example, there was a lot of noise from the Obama
camp about how the solution to the unfolding crisis in Pakistan and Afghanistan
was a comprehensive settlement of the Kashmir dispute that has kept India and Pakistan inches away from mutual
annihilation for years. The logic is impeccable. The Pakistani military has
been reluctant to draw its forces from the Indian border to the fight against
vastly more dangerous radical jihadists. In theory, a Kashmir
settlement could give the Pakistanis the confidence to focus their immense
military resources, bought and paid for by the American taxpayer incidentally,
on a truly potent threat. The glaring deficiency in this neat view is that Pakistan and India aren't interested. Kashmir is, for both states, an existential question:
Pakistanis see the region as an excised part of their Muslim homeland, while
Indians see it as living proof of their country's secular ideals. Imagine if an
overstuffed British diplomat took Abraham Lincoln aside to say, "Now,
let's be sensible about this Confederacy business, old man."
Among Indians, the near-consensus view is that Pakistan is a rogue state in all
but name, one that has sponsored anti-Indian terrorism for decades. And for all
their Americaphilia, Indians consider the enormous sums the U.S. sends to Pakistan to fight Islamist
terrorism to be something between a cruel joke and a slap in the face. One
often gets the impression that Pakistan
considers Indian consulates in Afghanistan
to be a greater threat than the Taliban itself, so this view is not entirely
unreasonable. Yet part of Clinton's mission to India is to convey the seriousness of the
American effort in Afghanistan:
as Bruce Riedel has explained in The Daily Beast, the Taliban is intends to
outlast Obama's Afghanistan
surge by raising U.S.
casualties to unacceptable levels and forcing withdrawal. If that does indeed
come to pass, India
will have to contend with an unending wave of terrorist threats emanating from
Talibanistan.
Having run for president on a platform of jobs, jobs, and more jobs, Clinton has also met with
Indian billionaires and officials in an effort to drum up demand for American
products and services. It helps that the U.S.-India economic relationship rests
on ties of warmth and affection: of the billionaires at Clinton's
breakfast in Mumbai, a large number spent formative years in the United States
as students. And though India
has made tremendous strides over the last decade and a half, its leaders have
no illusion that they're about to displace America as an economic superpower,
whereas the Chinese have grown steadily more assertive. If anything, America's leadership class is cheering India on as a potential counterbalance to
Chinese power while Indians see America
as a vital partner, one that's been more than willing to purchase cheap
outsourced business services.
Things did get a bit dicey when the secretary of State delicately danced
around the Obama administration's differences with India over climate change. Jairam Ramesh, India's
environment minister, rather indecorously groaned about U.S. insistence
that his developing country enter a global agreement on curbing carbon
emissions. The classic, and correct, Indian argument on the issue is that it is
the rich countries that have benefited the most from spitting carbon emissions
into the atmosphere over the last 200 years, and so it is the rich countries
who should do something about it. Crippling economic growth now through onerous
regulations would be a serious blow to India's poverty-stricken majority.
The U.S. recognizes,
however, that a leaky international agreement, in which polluters can simply
set up shop in India or China to avoid
tough regulations, might devastate its manufacturing base. To her credit, Clinton tried to split the difference by arguing that India could
actually fuel its economy by adopting clean and efficient technologies. But is
one area where U.S.-India differences are likely to remain sharp.
Clinton's Asia trip continues in Thailand this week, where she'll meet
foreign ministers from throughout Southeast Asia to discuss the global economic
meltdown, terrorism, and coups, all while eating spicy food. I don't envy her.
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