The conversation about college costs shouldn't end at student loans.
For decades, the politics of higher education have followed familiar
lines: Democrats champion higher Pell Grants for needy families,
tuition tax credits for the middle class, and cheaper student loans
paid for by cutting banks out of the system. Republicans advocate more
modest Pell Grant increases and, with a few exceptions, protect the
student-loan banks that enjoy a lucrative, risk-free business.
President Barack Obama is following the traditional playbook. He has
proposed increasing Pell Grants significantly and throwing the banks
completely out of the student-loan program. Loans instead would be made
directly by the government. "We should not be in the business of
propping up banks," Secretary of Education Arne Duncan told reporters
in April. "I'd much rather be investing in our country's young people."
But Pell Grants and student loans address only one side of the
college-affordability ledger. The other is tuition, which is increasing
at a rate that dramatically outpaces median family income. Student-loan
debt is chasing ever-rising tuition like a dog chasing its tail. If
we're going to stop the cycle and really improve access and
affordability, the progressive higher-education agenda has to include
slowing tuition growth.
That doesn't mean regulating tuition. Reform can be as simple as
helping students make better decisions in choosing a college,
incentivizing states to maintain their fiscal effort for higher
education, and making the colleges that the plurality of students
attend tuition-free for those willing to work. With these types of
policies in place, we can restructure a large part of financial aid
into a social-insurance system that has a lasting impact on college
access and affordability.
In 1993, President Bill Clinton first proposed increasing financial
aid by throwing banks out of the college-financing system. Taxpayer
savings were to be plowed into increased financial aid offered in
exchange for national service. The banks fought Clinton, but in the
end, he shifted about one-third of the college-loan system to direct
lending and won a scaled-down version of his national service program,
now known as Ameri- Corps. Today, colleges choose whether to
participate in the old system in which banks like Sallie Mae,
subsidized by the government, make loans to students or in the federal
direct-loan program. In 1996, Clinton worked the higher-education issue
again, making it a centerpiece of his re-election campaign to win back
middle-class swing votes lost to Newt Gingrich's Republican revolution.
Clinton's HOPE Scholarship and Lifetime Learning tax credits provided
up to $2,000 for families making between $40,000 and $120,000 a year.
A decade later, congressional Democrats again tapped higher
education for a political win. As one of their "Six in '06" campaign
priorities, they pledged to cut student-loan interest rates in half and
boost the Pell Grant by $1,000. After the election, they cut subsidies
for student-loan banks by some $20 billion over five years and
increased financial aid by the same.
Obama has picked up where Clinton and congressional Democrats left
off, proposing full-scale direct lending. He suggests shifting almost
all the savings, estimated by the Congressional Budget Office at $87
billion over 10 years (a number hotly disputed by lenders and their
allies), into the Pell Grant program, which he would convert to an
automatic program that would not need to fight for appropriated funds
each year. But even if Obama succeeds in raising the maximum Pell Grant
to $5,500, college will not suddenly become affordable for most
families. The median family income of Pell Grant recipients is less
than $20,000. To reach the middle class, Pell Grant funding would have
to double. And tuition is still rising faster than Obama's proposed
Pell Grant increase.
On tuition, states, colleges, and student-loan banks form a kind of
higher-education iron triangle that takes advantage of under-informed
consumers. States are the primary culprit. The No. 1 driver of
increased tuition is declining state funding for higher education as a
percentage of revenue. When states run into budget difficulty, they cut
higher-education aid because they know colleges can backfill the cuts
with higher tuition. Colleges further hike tuition to meet insatiable
growth demands and compete with nonacademic fields for highly educated
labor. They do so because they know students can and will borrow from
the student-loan banks to pay. For public colleges, the cycle
accelerates when the economy turns down. Texas is one of several states
that refused to send federal stimulus money to public colleges, on the
grounds that they had the option of raising tuition.
In recent years, the triangle has squeezed families particularly
hard. Median household income stagnated through most of the last decade
and is now falling. To keep pace with rising tuition, families
borrowed. Student-loan debt doubled. Unsubsidized private student-loan
debt—with interest rates as high as 20 percent and up-front fees
equal to as much as 10 percent of principal borrowed—increased
five-fold. It is not uncommon for graduate students to hold over
$100,000 in combined federal and private student loans. Despite the
fact that more than one in four private loan borrowers is eligible for
a cheaper federal student loan, banks haven't hesitated to push private
loans, which are lucrative and can almost never be discharged in
bankruptcy.
Still, Americans overestimate college costs and underestimate
financial aid. A majority thinks college costs what the most expensive
schools list as their sticker price, around $50,000 a year. But few
students attend those schools, and few pay full freight (eight out of
10 pay a net price that is on average 40 percent lower than the sticker
price). More than three-quarters attend public colleges, where average
tuition and fees total $6,600 per year. Room and board runs around
$8,000 yearly, and the sticker price reaches approximately $15,000 per
year. But financial aid is widely available. The maximum Pell Grant is
upward of $5,000. Tuition tax credits now reach $2,500. A minimum
of $9,500 each year in federal student loans is available to every
undergraduate family. For most students, most colleges are within
reach.
Students, however, don't know how much financial aid they can get
until after they apply to school, and the sticker price and the threat
of debt deter many from applying. After all the financial-aid
investments and public-awareness campaigns over the years, the
percentage of young adults with a college degree is nearly the same as
it was 30 years ago. What has changed is that those who attend now are
paying a greater share of the cost via student loans, and, most
disconcerting for families, net price continues to rise markedly faster
than inflation and income.
Families know it's essential to go to college to get a good job but
are limited in their ability to ascertain the value of specific
institutions. Ranking guides such as U.S. News & World Report's
pay attention to only the top 20 percent of colleges. So most families
rely on expensive proxies, including price, advertising, and amenities
to determine a college's value. The University of Vermont, for example,
spent over $60 million on a new student center, complete with a pub,
ballroom, and theater. ''These are not frills,'' Daniel M. Fogel,
president of the University of Vermont, told The New York Times.
''They are absolute necessities. Harvard can count on enough bright
kids willing to sleep on thin mats of straw to go there. That's
Harvard." The first year after Vermont introduced its new student-life
facility, applications jumped 12 percent. Average student-loan debt
there is now $25,000. But close to 20 percent of Vermont's students
fail to graduate. These borrowers—like almost half of student
borrowers nationwide—leave school with high debt, no degree, and few
skills with which to get a well-paying job.
***
On Capitol Hill, some Democrats have begun to articulate a strategy
to fight back against those driving up tuition and taking advantage of
students. During a major rewrite of higher-education law last year,
Rep. John Tierney of Massachusetts proposed to limit federal grants to
states that reduced college-aid funding. As part of the same
higher-education law overhaul, Patrick Murphy of Pennsylvania proposed
a "truth in tuition" plan, whereby schools would have to provide
families with an up-front, multiyear tuition and fee schedule that
presumably would force colleges to embrace more rigorous budgeting.
Danny Davis of Illinois proposed allowing private student loans to be
discharged in bankruptcy after several years of on-time payments. All
these efforts were thwarted by Republicans, led by Sen. Lamar
Alexander, a former University of Tennessee college president.
A progressive higher-education agenda should aim to protect
students for whom a big higher-education investment doesn't result in
big rewards. It's difficult to force colleges to compete over what
matters most—learning—because any attempt to measure it leads to
cries of intrusive testing and narrow curricula. But it's relatively
easy to compare colleges according to what consumers most want out of
higher education: good jobs and financial security. Over 70 percent of
students say increased earning power is the major reason they pursue
postsecondary education.
From a purely financial standpoint, it's possible to ascertain
whether a college is likely to prove worth the money. Congress recently
required colleges to report their average net price after financial
aid. A private Web site, Payscale.com, lists average starting and
mid-career salaries for graduates of more than 300 institutions of
higher education nationally. And the Department of Education knows the
percentage of students leaving every institution who default on their
student loans. With that information and more like it, the department
could create a higher-education value index, including a lemon list of
schools that charge too much and deliver too little.
For the lemons, Barmak Nassirian, head of government relations for
the American Association of Collegiate Registrars, proposes a "buyer
beware" warning to accompany all college marketing materials. "Warning:
One in two Acme College borrowers defaults on a student loan within
three years of separation from Acme College. Acme graduates earn an
average starting salary of $22,000 a year. Be careful before assuming
substantial student-loan debt to attend Acme College." Schools will
want to be identified as good value options and will shudder at the
prospect of being on a lemon list. To avoid it, they'll be less quick
to raise tuition and more interested in making sure their students get
well-paying jobs.
The big idea for progressives, though, is to make community college
tuition-free for all those willing to work during school. If, as
colleges say, sticker shock is the main tuition problem, change the
sticker price to make it tuition-free. Given how low community college
tuition is and how much financial aid is available, the costs to the
Treasury would be nominal. The College Board estimates that currently
average after-grant net tuition price at community colleges is
only $100 per full-time student per year. By building aid into sticker
price and making public colleges tuition-free, we can send a clear
message that everyone can go to college.
Washington could take existing or new resources and provide a
higher-education block grant to states that agree to maintain their own
fiscal efforts for higher education and make their community colleges
tuition-free for first-time, full-time students. States would no longer
be able to treat their own higher education budgets as rainy-day funds
to be tapped during every economic downturn. That would slow tuition
growth. And because of the attractive community college alternative,
all colleges would have an incentive to adopt new cost-saving
mechanisms in order to keep net tuition and fee levels down.
The main concern about free community college is quality. Only 10
percent of community college students go on to complete a four-year
degree. But the No. 1 indicator of whether students will complete a
four-year bachelor's degree is the rigor of their high school
curriculum. Free community college tuition should be conditioned on
completing college-prep courses in high school. States can and should
use stimulus funds, their own existing funds, and the education
secretary's Race to the Top discretionary funds to upgrade high school
programs across the board. A secondary concern, though, is giving away
something for nothing. President Obama has proposed that tuition tax
benefits be conditioned on students carrying out a minimum amount of
service or working to help pay other education-related costs. Free
community college tuition should carry the same student-responsibility
requirements. Students who work up to 15 hours a week while in college
report they manage their time better and study more effectively.
Armed with good information and even a free community college
option, not everyone will make a purely economic college-attendance
choice. Some will pursue high-cost options. Traditional financial aid
still plays a role for them in making education affordable. But within
financial aid, it's time to embrace another big idea: student loans as
social insurance with limited monthly payments. Under current law,
undergraduate families can borrow a minimum of $57,500 in federal
student loans. At that level of borrowing, standard repayment equals
approximately $660 a month. That's a heavy burden for young graduates
and constrains career choices. Income-based repayment is already an
option on the books. Only 12 percent of borrowers use it, because it's
not the default repayment plan, and terms are neither simple nor
generous. But the default is easy to change, and Congress can make the
benefit simpler and more generous by capping payment at 5 percent of
income.
There are two options for doing this at no cost. The first is for
the government, which currently pays interest on college loans for
students while they're in school, to shift that subsidy into a
post-graduation, income-based repayment benefit. Students would
continue to be free from loan payments while in school, but interest
would capitalize. They'd owe more up front, but most would pay less as
a portion of income later. "It makes much more sense to subsidize
student-loan borrowers based on their ability to pay at the time they
enter repayment as opposed to their parents' ability to pay four,
eight, or more years prior," says Skidmore University economist Sandy
Baum. It's precisely what Australia, New Zealand, and Canada do. There
are theoretical problems with income-based repayment. If borrowers know
student-loan payments will be covered by a public social-insurance
scheme, they may borrow more than necessary or not vigorously pursue a
higher income after college. With students protected from crippling
debt, schools may feel freer to further increase tuition. But little
evidence exists that marginal tax rates in the United States drive down
income aspirations, and the federal student-loan system includes caps
on how much students can borrow.
The second option is for Congress to pay for a better income-based
repayment benefit by diverting a portion of savings generated from
throwing the banks out of the student-loan program. According to a new
estimate by the Congressional Budget Office, Obama's student-loan plan
saves taxpayers nearly double his original estimate. It's
enough to hike Pell Grants for the poor and cap student-loan payments
at 5 percent of out-of-school income.
With loan payments capped, college-qualified high school students
from debt-averse families will be more likely to pursue post-secondary
studies. Graduates will no longer be dissuaded from low-paying
public-service occupations like teaching and nursing. And those who
attempt but don't complete a post-secondary education program will be
insured against crushing debt. There's no magic answer to slowing
tuition growth and dramatically improving financial aid beyond what
Obama has proposed. But we can nudge consumers to make better choices,
open the doors of low-cost community colleges, and protect students for
whom college doesn't pan out financially. The first step is to make
sure the progressive agenda on higher education is focused on more than
financial aid.
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