In the new "subsidist" economy that both parties have created in recent decades, the distinctions among public, private and nonprofit sectors are broken down. Government becomes unlimited in ends at the same time that it becomes rigidly limited in means. The means are always the same -- a tax credit that conservatives can describe to their constituents as a "tax cut" and that liberals can describe to their constituents as a spending program. But the ends are unlimited.
Here's the
latest bold new idea for reconciling the costs of national defense with
the need to avoid adding to federal deficits or raising taxes. A
bipartisan coalition of "New Democrats" and moderate Republicans has
proposed buying weapons for the U.S. military through the IRS rather
than the Pentagon. Here's how it would work. Instead of being paid to
deliver planes, missiles and tanks, defense contractors would receive
"weapon supply tax credits" (WSTC). The defense contractors would be
able to reduce the taxes they owed the federal government by the prices
of the weapons they delivered. Because the tax credit would be
refundable, if the prices exceeded a firm's annual tax liability, the
IRS would send a check to the firm in the amount of the difference. In
this way, the federal government could finance a massive military
buildup -- and because tax credits aren't counted as part of the
federal budget, for official purposes the cost of the buildup would be
zero!
I had you going there for a minute, didn't I? The
"weapons supply tax credit" is a joke. It was proposed some years ago
by the late David Bradford, a Princeton economist who worked in the
Ford and George H.W. Bush administrations. Bradford's purpose was to
ridicule the growing reliance of Congresses and presidents on tax
credits and other so-called tax expenditures as an alternative to
ordinary spending programs funded by ordinary taxes.
The weapons supply tax credit is no crazier than the
major tax expenditures that shape -- no, make that disfigure -- the
political economy of early 21st century America. Instead of raising
taxes to pay for universal healthcare, as many other nations do, the
federal government grants a $250 billion a year tax break to employers
to give them an incentive to buy healthcare for their employees. Hey,
that approach really worked out well, didn't it?
And then there's America's biggest antipoverty program,
the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC). By means of the EITC, the federal
government "tops up" the wages of full-time workers who are trapped in
poverty. Needless to say, this is also a massive subsidy to employers
who pay poverty wages to their workers, and to consumers who buy goods
and services produced by poverty-wage workers. You'd think the more
straightforward approach would be to ensure that anybody who works 40
hours a week doesn't need to rely on welfare, with entry-level public
employment mopping up most remaining unemployment. You'd think.
Did I mention the home mortgage interest deduction? This
costs the Treasury around $80 billion a year in lost tax revenue that
must be paid for by other taxes if it is not to enlarge the deficit.
This program, justified on the grounds that it promotes home ownership,
in practice showers government subsidies chiefly on rich and
upper-middle-class homeowners. Some countries like Canada that lack
such a tax expenditure have higher rates of homeownership than the U.S.
The political scientist Christopher Howard calls the tax
expenditure system the "hidden welfare state." It might just as well be
called the Blob That Ate the Economy. If only non-business subsidies to
individuals are counted, the IRS-administered subsidy sector costs
around $800 billion a year. That's about 6 percent of U.S. GDP, or
about a fifth of the total official expenditure of the federal, state
and local governments combined.
To put that number into perspective, according to
official figures the U.S. spends about 30 percent of its GDP on
government at all levels -- well below the OECD average of around 36
percent and the EU average of about 39 percent. But add in the "dark
matter" of tax expenditures, and federal-state-local spending goes up
to around 36 percent of GDP -- close to the international average among
developed countries and within range of European norms.
This is something that neither liberals nor conservatives
are honest about. Liberals like to invoke official spending numbers to
claim that the U.S. spends far less on social welfare purposes than
other, similar industrial democracies. That implies that there is room
for a massive expansion of federal spending on new purposes -- health,
environment, education. But as Jacob Hacker has pointed out, when tax
expenditures are factored in, U.S. welfare policies absorb far more of
the U.S. economy already than many on the left want to admit. Though it
is still short of the half of GDP taken by government in the Nordic
democracies, the American public sector, when dark matter is included,
is pretty close to Western European levels already.
But conservatives have no reason to gloat about the
discovery of the tax-expenditure dark matter -- not if they believe
their own rhetoric about free markets and free enterprise. The truth is
that tax expenditures warp the market and corrupt private enterprise.
In a mixed economy like that of the U.S. from the
Depression until the 1980s, there is a division of labor among
well-defined sectors. The government provides public goods -- sometimes
directly, as in the case of public K-12 education, and sometimes
indirectly, through "state capitalism," by making loans to college
students or paying contractors to build roads and bridges. The private
sector provides most other goods, from apples to Apples. A limited
nonprofit sector made up of universities, hospitals and museums rounds
out the mixed economy.
In the new "subsidist" economy that both parties have
created in recent decades, the distinctions among public, private and
nonprofit sectors are broken down. Government becomes unlimited in ends
at the same time that it becomes rigidly limited in means. The means
are always the same -- a tax credit that conservatives can describe to
their constituents as a "tax cut" and that liberals can describe to
their constituents as a spending program. But the ends are unlimited.
Does the annoying nanny-state left want to replace French
fries with asparagus spears? Then call for an individual tax credit to
encourage healthy eating, and label it a "nudge" in the manner of
Richard Thaler and Cass Sunstein. Does the big-government right want to
expand healthcare without paying for it? Then call for a tax credit for
"medical savings accounts."
Conservatives make little effort to reconcile their
libertarian, anti-statist rhetoric with their defense of old subsidies
and their call for new ones. For example, they claim to believe that
private schools, competing in the market, can deliver better outcomes
than public schools. Do they therefore demand for-profit schools that,
if they fail, declare bankruptcy and go out of business like stores in
a shopping mall? No. They call for government vouchers for private
schools. What do government vouchers, paid for by taxpayers, have to do
with the "free market" and "free enterprise" and "the private sector"?
Vouchers are also the basis of most conservative
healthcare plans. Ironically, the idea of "voucher socialism" as a
proposal dates back to certain groups on the left in the early 20th
century. Today's "right" consists largely of voucher socialists and
apologists for tax breaks for large corporations, banks and insurance
companies. To judge by their actions, rather than by their words, most
conservatives appear to believe that private enterprise is so
congenitally deformed and feeble that it will expire of its own
debility unless it is given constant intravenous injections of direct
and indirect taxpayer subsidies.
Defeating the Blob may require an alliance of both ends
against the middle. When it comes to the subsidy sector, we have a
four-party system. Neoliberal New Democrats, like the majority of
personnel in the Clinton and Obama administrations, have preferred tax
credits to honest spending programs, so they can claim to be in favor
of limiting the size of government. Centrist Republicans like tax
expenditures for the same reason. The opponents of the ever-expanding
subsidy state are found among social democrats on the left and
libertarians on the right. Social democrats would prefer direct
government spending for public purposes rather than subsidies to
rent-seeking middlemen bribed into doing things that the public sector
does in better-governed countries. Libertarians -- at least the ones
who don't care about being players in the Republican Party -- oppose
corporate welfare in the name of the free market.
Social democrats and reasonable libertarians might
consider uniting in a grand alliance against the bloated subsidy
sector. As a rule, public goods should be provided by the government
and private goods by the private sector, with a small contribution from
a modest nonprofit sector. Most of the 6 percent or so of GDP that is
now converted into the dark matter of tax expenditures needs to be
divided between a restored public sector and a restored private sector
-- with a rebuilt border between them. The principled left and the
principled right can argue about where the border between the public
sector and the private sector should be. But at least they can agree
that there should be a border, and that the no man's land of the
subsidy sector needs to be erased from the map.
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