The continued ascent of the GOP's fringe elements - and their unwillingness to embrace any sort of political compromise - are bringing the sort of political marginalization that Obama's victory only hinted at.
"We're on the path
to socialism in America," or so says the Republican National Committee,
which in a special emergency session Wednesday wrestled with a
resolution condemning the Democrats' "march to socialism." On the
bright side, Republicans backed off a move to rebrand Democrats as a
"socialist" party. But it seems the damage has already been done.
However, even the seeming prospect of punch-line status cannot divert
Republicans from their current path of political marginalization and
self-parody.
In the last weeks of the 2008 presidential election, as the
McCain-Palin ticket spouted charges of socialism and embraced 15-minute
celebrities like Joe the Plumber, it seemed that the GOP had become a
rudderless ship, devoid of new ideas for how to govern the country.
Only a crushing defeat at the polls could shake the party from its
slumber.
But since November, the GOP has doubled down on the same unbending
style of conservative sloganeering. The results speak for themselves -
Republican Party identification stands at a measly 22 percent, and the
party is losing ground among virtually every major demographic group
and region of the country. Noted conservative jurist Richard Posner has
gone so far as to claim that "conservative intellectuals" no longer
have a political party.
The continued ascent of the GOP's fringe elements - and their
unwillingness to embrace any sort of political compromise - are
bringing the sort of political marginalization that Obama's victory
only hinted at.
The recent
abandonment of the party by Pennsylvania Sen. Arlen Specter provided
ample evidence that moderates no longer felt welcome in an increasingly
dogmatic GOP. But word that Jon Huntsman, the pragmatic Republican
governor of Utah (and a rumored presidential contender in 2012) was
joining the Obama administration as ambassador to China is a far more
troubling sign. Not only does it speak to the alienation of
nondoctrinaire conservatives, but it also suggests that, among the
party's rising stars, there is little hope for a near-term renewal.
It's little wonder: The RNC even considered meaningless resolutions
calling Democrats "socialists," and the Obama administration is
reaching across the aisle to moderate Republicans.
The
contrast between the two parties is even more conspicuous on
television, where former Vice President Dick Cheney is now a ubiquitous
presence, preaching daily that the Obama administration is weakening
the country's security. Yet in the age of Obama, it's hard to imagine a
more unappealing spokesman - inflexible, overly partisan, negative and
pessimistic. Cheney is the anti-Obama.
But the problems go beyond mere political visuals: 40 years of railing
against taxes and decrying activist government have placed Republicans
in an ideological straitjacket. Any move by President Barack Obama to
confront the downturn - or serious policy challenges like health care
and climate change - by increasing the role of government has been met
by charges of socialism and worse. The party has become so wedded to
its basic ideology, it has become nearly impossible for it to adapt to
changing circumstances (and voter preferences) and advocate any policy
prescription beyond cutting taxes or cutting spending.
These moves are providing Obama with an unmatched opportunity to
capture the political middle. As long as he doesn't move too far to the
left, Obama can rest assured that the unyielding conservatism of the
Republican Party will, practically by default, cast him as a political
moderate.
But beyond Obama's political prospects, there are also serious policy
ramifications. Policies that once might have seemed too liberal now
look tame in comparison to conservative orthodoxy. When the choice is
no government vs. some government, is it any surprise that most
Americans prefer the latter? With Republicans basically absenting
themselves from the field - by falling back on the same tired
conservative rhetoric that has driven the movement for four decades -
Obama has a unique opportunity to build a new progressive governing
strategy for the country.
Many conservatives have seemingly convinced themselves that the
November election was a temporary correction and that the country will
soon return to its natural equilibrium of center-right politics. But
the more Republicans adhere to an inflexible conservatism that offers
little hope to "nonbelievers," the better the possibility that a
temporary shift may become a lasting realignment. In fact, if present
trends are any indication, it may already be occurring.
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