The war today is being fought in Washington, in the press, and perhaps even in the Justice Department.
When Google's lawyers entered the smooth marble hallways of
the Department of Justice on the morning of October 17, they had reason to feel
confident. Sure, they were about to face the antitrust division--an experience
most companies dread--to defend a proposed deal with Yahoo. But they had to
like their chances. In the previous seven years, only one of the mergers that
had been brought here had been opposed. And Google wasn't even requesting a
full merger. It just wanted the go-ahead to pursue a small deal that it was
convinced would benefit consumers, the two companies, and the
search-advertising market as a whole. Settling around a large oval table in the
conference room, the attorneys from Google and Yahoo prepared to make their
arguments. Google wanted to serve its ads for certain search terms on Yahoo's
pages in exchange for a share of the revenue those ads generated. It already
had similar arrangements with AOL, Ask.com, and countless other Web sites. And
the deal wasn't exclusive or permanent.
Tom Barnett, assistant attorney general for antitrust, took
his seat at the table and called the meeting to order. The Yahoo lawyers kicked
things off by describing their negotiations with DOJ staff; they had already
suggested limiting the length of the deal and capping the amount of money in
play. Barnett seemed unimpressed. "Staff," he proclaimed, "is
irrelevant." He made the decisions around there.
As five lawyers involved with the case recount it, the rest
of the meeting did not go much better. For hours, Barnett picked apart the
deal. Google, he argued, was not preserving competition by keeping Yahoo
solvent; it was trying to increase control over its old rival, with a goal of
dominating the online search-advertising market. If the proposal was so
harmless, he went on, why had he been deluged with letters and phone calls from
advertisers opposing it? Then, late in the day, Barnett brought up the two
words Google lawyers least wanted to hear: Section Two--as in, Section Two of
the Sherman Antitrust Act, which criminalizes monopolies. The Justice
Department invoked Section Two to splinter Standard Oil in 1911, break up
AT&T in 1982, and prosecute Microsoft in 1998. Now Barnett was signaling
not just that the Google-Yahoo deal was dead but that the government saw Google
as a potential monopolist. In fact, Barnett insisted, if the deal wasn't
substantially changed or scuttled, he would sue within five days. It was a
stunning blow. Google had expected a speedy approval. Now the company, whose
brand is defined by its "Don't be evil" slogan, faced the prospect of
being hauled into court on an antitrust charge. Google and Yahoo tried to
salvage the negotiations, but on the morning of November 5, three hours before
the DOJ was going to file its antitrust case, they abandoned the deal.
Google's capitulation marked a rare defeat for the search
giant, which has been almost as successful among the regulators of Washington as among the coders of Silicon
Valley. And it was cause for celebration in Redmond, where Microsoft spent six months on
a massive effort, costing millions of dollars, to block the Yahoo deal. Microsoft
played a role in persuading members of Congress to hold hearings. It initiated
a campaign that filled DOJ mailboxes with letters from politicians and
nonprofit groups objecting to the deal. It convinced the country's largest
advertisers to join together to oppose the company in public. It's impossible
to know exactly what impact all this had on the DOJ decision. But many
observers believe that Barnett, who declined to be interviewed for this
article, was influenced in part by Microsoft's arguments.
The bid to stop the Yahoo deal was just one front in an
emerging multipronged war against Google. The company's growth, ambitions, and
politics have made it a target of some of the country's most powerful
businesses and interest groups. When Google pressed the Federal Communications
Commission to reallocate "white space"--unused chunks of radio
spectrum--for wireless broadband and other uses, it ran into a counter-lobbying
effort that included everyone from the National Association of Broadcasters to
Dolly Parton. Google's push for net neutrality, which would forbid ISPs from
giving preferential treatment to certain data providers, has been met by fierce
resistance from telecom and cable companies, whose allies describe it as
"special-interest legislation dressed up to sound less self-serving."
It purchased YouTube, whose users' laissez-faire approach to copyright
infuriates Viacom and other content providers. Google wants to digitize entire
libraries, a prospect that frightens publishers. It has terrified a legion of
small businesses that feel at the mercy of its opaque but all-powerful search
algorithm. It has annoyed Republicans by associating itself largely with
Democrats.
The thwarting of the Yahoo deal was the most successful
attack so far by the many forces aligned against Google--but it won't be the
last. "There were a lot of sharks circling Google during the DOJ
review," says Christopher Murray, senior counsel for Consumers Union.
"Now there's a whiff of blood in the water. I expect a feeding frenzy in
2009."
The Enemies List
Google is under fire on 4 fronts.
Who's Upset
What's at Stake
How
much do you trust Google? The search giant says there's no reason to
fear its purchase of DoubleClick or its proposed revenue-sharing deal
with Yahoo. But competitors and major advertisers think it's plotting
world domination.
Association of National Advertisers, Microsoft, WPP Group
Every
time a new chunk of radio spectrum becomes available, Google argues it
should be opened to the public. Sounds great--except to telcos that
have wanted it for themselves and broadcasters that worry new devices
will mess with their transmissions.
AT&T, National Association of Broadcasters, Verizon
Google
thinks all information is created equal and favors laws forbidding
Internet service providers from determining how fast content from
different providers will download. ISPs, not surprisingly, beg to
differ.
AT&T, Comcast, Verizon
Google's
insatiable hunger for data scares even some of its allies. Now its
business rivals have launched a privacy crusade to drum up fears that
Big Brother lives in Mountain View.
AT&T, Center for Digital Democracy, Microsoft
High-profile legal battles aren't fought only in the
courtroom. Public perceptions matter. Momentum matters. Relationships matter.
For John Kelly, Microsoft's head of strategic relations, this lesson didn't
come easy. In the 1990s, the lawyer and former lobbyist watched as Microsoft
defended itself against charges that its practice of bundling its software onto
computers constituted anticompetitive behavior. The company settled the case in
2001. But by then it had already won a reputation as an unrepentant and
thuggish monopolist, thanks in part to shrewd lobbying by competitors like Sun
Microsystems and Netscape, uninspiring testimony by Bill Gates, and masterful
media relations by David Boies, the government lawyer on the case.
"Ten years ago we said, 'This is all going to depend on
being right in court,'" Kelly says. "'Don't worry about all the noise,
rhetoric, and lobbying by our competitors.' While the facts and the law are
still what matters in the end, the important lesson we took way from that
experience was that you could not let your competitors define you in the court
of public opinion."
A decade later, Microsoft's reputation was still getting in
its way. In January 2008, Microsoft made an unsolicited bid to purchase Yahoo.
The takeover would help Microsoft bulk up its search advertising business, an
area where Google held a huge advantage. But Yahoo CEO Jerry Yang, who viewed
Microsoft as an uncompromising leviathan, was determined to block the deal. In
early May, Microsoft dropped its bid--a tough defeat made even more frustrating
when Google CEO Eric Schmidt celebrated the failure in comments to the media.
"We're obviously happy it's not going to happen," Schmidt said at a
press conference. "Had the merger gone through, we would have had to have
a meeting around it. We would have had to have a campaign against it."
It was a stark reversal for Schmidt, who had made few public
statements against Microsoft since joining Google in 2001. Kelly took the
saber-rattling as a warning that Google was preparing to join the fray, perhaps
by proposing its own deal to keep Yahoo out of Microsoft's hands. (Sure enough,
Google did just that on June 12.) For years, Microsoft had quietly seethed as
Google waltzed into a position of immense power while charming regulators and
politicians with an aura of gee-whiz innocence. Even when Google hired a small
team of lobbyists and took the occasional swing at Redmond, the company's feel-good reputation
remained intact. The idea that Google would end up inking a deal with Yahoo,
increasing its domination of search advertising while successfully casting
Microsoft--again!--as a power-mad Darth Vader, was more than Kelly could stand.
"Frankly, we saw history repeating itself," he says. "We
realized that we were going to have to speak up."
Kelly sprang into action, activating his company's vast
Washington infrastructure.Microsoft's protracted antitrust battles had left it
with an army of lawyers and lobbyists and deep institutional knowledge of which
politicians to approach and how best to sway them. Soon, Microsoft's lobbyists
were meeting with Herbert Kohl, chair of the Senate's Antitrust Subcommittee.
By early July the subcommittee was holding hearings. In October, Kohl wrote to
Barnett warning that "important competition issues are raised by this
transaction."
But that was all familiar, the kind of campaign Microsoft
had routinely run. Kelly wanted to take a different approach this time--not
just opposing the deal but persuading other interested parties to speak out as
well. The arguments of a known competitor may not sway the Justice Department,
but customers' opinions hold special influence. If advertisers--Google's customers--voluntarily
declared their opposition, the DOJ would listen closely.
Kelly turned to Michael Kassan, an advertising consultant
who had been advising Microsoft off and on since 2002. Kassan--whose clients
have included AT&T, Disney, and Viacom--recently had been named by Advertising
Age as possessing the third-most-impressive Rolodex in the industry. Kelly asked
Kassan to start talking to his contacts and drum up opposition to Google.
Kassan assured him he knew just how to do it; there was plenty of fear and
mistrust of Google among advertisers. "Google has badly misjudged how it
is perceived," he reassured Kelly. "We have a clear and easy story to
tell."
It went like this: Google had 70 percent of the search
advertising business, and Yahoo had 20 percent. Now those two companies were
proposing a business deal. That would give advertisers less leverage to negotiate
ad rates, and they would end up paying more.
Kassan was eager to make his case. He flew to Cannes,
France, where he pitched the board of the International Association of
Advertisers. He traveled to conferences in New York, Washington, Los Angeles,
and Florida. He talked to many of the 32 chief marketing officers on the board
of the Association of National Advertisers, the trade group that represents the
top 375 advertisers in the country. By late August, Kelly and Kassan were
conducting as many as three conference calls a day with major national
advertisers. Google, meanwhile, hadn't started any serious outreach effort to
defend the deal to the advertising community.
The hardest part of the campaign wasn't convincing ANA's
board members that the Google-Yahoo proposal was bad for them. The trick,
Kassan says, was getting them to say so. Indeed, Kassan was rebuffed in June,
when he first asked the head of the ANA to take a public stand. "They
wanted me to do something right away," ANA president Bob Liodice says.
"I told them I'd look at it. But at the time I had no ability to say
whether the deal was bad or good, and the last thing I wanted to do was have
the organization looking like a shill for Microsoft."
Kassan and Kelly kept at Liodice, seeding his inbox with
position papers, briefing documents, and news stories. Their goal was
straightforward: Convince him that the ANA's position on the deal not only
mattered but was crucial to stopping it. Liodice went on a fact-finding
mission, inviting Google and Yahoo to answer questions and then sending written
queries to executives at all three companies. Ultimately, he concluded that
Google would drive Yahoo out of business and gain a stranglehold on online
advertising. "The more we dug in, the more we realized that we had to say
something," Liodice says. "The tipping point for me was that I had
all these advertisers on my board opposing the deal. Meanwhile, Google and
Yahoo couldn't produce any significant advertisers who were supporting
it." In September, the ANA formally voiced its opposition. It wasn't
alone; individual advertisers piled on with additional letters to the Justice
Department expressing their own disapproval. DOJ staffers were talking about
the "telephone book of complaints" they had received.
Microsoft's arguments weren't just winning over advertisers.
Back in July, the company penned one of a series of confidential memos titled
"Google + Yahoo ? Competition" and sent it to its allies and the
Justice Department. The memo claimed that the Google-Yahoo deal was illegal on
its face, mentioning as precedent the 68-year-old case United States v.
Socony-Vacuum Oil Co. Inc., which Microsoft also cited in congressional
testimony that same month. When Yahoo lawyer Dan Wall heard the argument, he
didn't see how a 1940s case against conspiring oil companies bore much
relevance to a deal in which prices are set by electronic auctions. But then a
Justice official brought up Socony during one of their regular phone calls.
"I thought, 'Good grief, they're buying the Microsoft BS,'" Wall
says. "I don't have any doubt that Microsoft put that in DOJ's mind."
Meanwhile, the fight against Google quickly spread beyond
Redmond, as other companies and trade groups began to lend support. Some had no
obvious interest in the deal; Microsoft hired lobbyists who knew how to drum up
support among rural and Latino groups, and before long organizations as
far-reaching as the American Corn Growers Association and the Dominican
American Business Network had voiced their opposition.
Other companies joined in, including AT&T. Many
observers believe that the telecom company hopes to compete directly with
Google someday by going into the business of serving online ads to its users,
and it was happy for the opportunity to beat up on its future rival. On
September 24, 10 members of Congress sent a letter to the DOJ opposing the
deal. All of them have received donations from AT&T over their careers
(average total contribution since 1996: $29,000), and most counted the telecom
giant as one of their largest contributors.
These campaigns converged at the October 17 Justice
Department hearing, in which Barnett threatened to bring an antitrust case
against Google. Publicly, Google remained upbeat after the arrangement fell
apart. Lobbyists for the company maintained that even in failure they had kept
Yahoo out of the hands of Microsoft for at least six months, perhaps
permanently. And if Microsoft eventually tries to snap up Yahoo, Google can
respond with the same kind of antitrust arguments that were deployed against
it.
Kassan doesn't share Google's optimistic interpretation.
"They have permanently invited the scrutiny of the Justice Department into
every future deal they do," he says. "Nine months ago everyone
aspired to be Google. Now they have monopolist written all over them."
***
Google barely had time to recover from the failed Yahoo deal
before its staff learned of a 94-page document titled "Google Data
Collection and Retention," that had been circulating around Washington.
The treatise listed all the ways that Google hoards user information. Google
Checkout remembers credit card numbers. Gmail reads private email. Blogger
saves draft posts. As one annotation on the document helpfully notes, Google's
privacy policy "gives Google the right to retain personal information over
the wishes of a user." Overall, Google is painted as a Big Brother with an
insatiable desire for private data.
The document, written by a consulting firm, was commissioned
by AT&T, which says it was intended only for internal use. Protection from
snooping, says AT&T public policy chief James Cicconi, is one of his firm's
top priorities. "We sell our customers access to the Internet," he
says, "and we want them to have a good experience." Privacy is a
newfound concern for the company, which in 2005 was one of the telecoms that allowed
the National Security Agency to listen in on millions of phone calls. AT&T
was accused of "warrantless wiretapping" before successfully lobbying
Congress to grant it immunity against suits by its customers. But now AT&T
is trumpeting the cause of consumer privacy, unveiling an elaborate policy
stating that it will not sell its customers' browsing histories to advertisers
without explicit permission.
But AT&T's nascent crusade may also be in the service of
a less noble agenda: keeping up its attack on Google. Over the past couple of
months, several AT&T allies have spoken out against what they describe as
Google's disdain for privacy. Scott Cleland, who serves as CEO of a
telecom-funded consultancy, has turned his widely read blog into a Google
attack machine, with posts titled "Why Google Is the Biggest Threat to
Americans' Privacy" and "Google Protecting Its Privacy to Invade Your
Privacy." In late November, a cochair of an advocacy group called the
Future of Privacy Forum published an op-ed in the Bangkok Post titled "Google
Is Watching You." The writer was a former lawyer for AT&T, which is
the group's sole funder. AT&T is also launching volleys under its own name:
When its senior vice president of public policy introduced the company's new
set of policies in front of the Senate, she repeatedly named Google as a
privacy threat--and mentioned no other company in the entire testimony.
Once again, AT&T has found an ally in Microsoft. LMG, a
public-relations firm that Microsoft hired to help defeat the Yahoo deal, has
emailed public-interest advocates accusing Google of privacy violations. Last
spring, Microsoft supported bills in the New York and Connecticut legislatures to
impose strict regulations on businesses that gather personal information online
for marketing purposes. The bills would hurt Microsoft, too, given that it also
wants to sell advertisements based on customer behavior. But the self-inflicted
wound may be worth it for the damage it causes Google.
True to form, Google remains cheery and confident. The
company's reputation still beats the stodgy, unfriendly images of Microsoft and
AT&T. Google executives also know they may be able to win some supporters
on this issue; advertisers, the same group whose complaints torpedoed the Yahoo
deal, aren't put off by Google's attempts to collect user data--it only helps
them create more targeted ads.
And for all its woes in Washington, Google is finally
learning how to operate there. It has hired more lobbyists, and its policy
experts are starting to attend the cocktail parties they have long ignored.
Schmidt serves as chair of the New America Foundation (a think tank at which
one of the authors of this article is a fellow). And Google can now boast a
uniquely powerful ally: Barack Obama, who benefited from Google employees' extensive
campaign contributions and from Schmidt's well-timed endorsement.
AT&T maintains that even Google's Democratic pals might
turn against the company over privacy. "Civil libertarians have fought
hard over decades to establish a right to privacy as fundamental to preserving
all other liberties enshrined in our Constitution," Cicconi says. "It
would be shameful if liberals now toss that achievement over the side because a
liberal, pro-Obama, hip-cool-trendy company comes along that wants to run
roughshod over those rights." Leslie Harris, president of the Center for
Democracy and Technology, a nonprofit that has long fought Google on privacy
grounds, says she considers AT&T's recent interest in her cause "a
perfect storm in our favor." And Google isn't out of the antitrust woods
yet, either. Sanford Litvack--a government lawyer who would have run the DOJ's
suit against Google had it not withdrawn the Yahoo proposal--says that, in his
opinion, Google's current position may already constitute a monopoly, even
without Yahoo.
Traditionally, Google has fought off powerful rivals with
masterful code. It took on the established search behemoths by creating more
effective software. It bested Microsoft's and Yahoo's advertising efforts by
inventing an entirely new ad platform. But the war today is being fought in
Washington, in the press, and perhaps even in the Justice Department again. And
these aren't battles you can win with engineers and algorithms.
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