If President Obama seeks to finally end this conflict, America should stop playing Palestinian (or Israeli) politics and begin pursuing American interests.
One of the first questions that President Obama’s Mideast envoy
George Mitchell will have to address is how to deal with a politically
empowered Hamas and a politically weakened Fatah.
Some counsel that America should continue its policy of trying to
strengthen Fatah and undermine Hamas. But attempts to pit one
Palestinian faction against another have been, and will continue to be,
counterproductive (not to mention contradicting our respect for
democracy). In the interests of ending Israel’s occupation of
Palestinian territory and ensuring Israel’s security in the Middle
East, the United States should instead be dealing with all elected
representatives of the Palestinian people.
Historically, Israel has sought to elevate a Palestinian leadership
that would promote its national security interests. At the same time,
Israel has continued expropriating Palestinian territory via settlement
expansion. As it grew clear to even the most hopeful Palestinian that
the occupation was not ending, Israel became unable to maintain a
Palestinian leadership willing to guarantee its security. Israel would
then turn against and seek to destroy the Palestinian leadership that
it had previously built up.
Consider the Oslo Accords agreed to by Yasser Arafat and Yitzhak
Rabin in 1993. The accords brought the first intifada to an end and
succeeded in providing a measure of calm in Israel for almost seven
years (albeit punctuated by episodes of intense violence, such as the
Hebron massacre by Baruch Goldstein in 1994 and the Hamas suicide
bombings in 1996). The period of 1998 to September 2000 was among the
quietest in Israel’s history, until rapid settlement increase and a
lack of political progress finally became impossible for Palestinians
to ignore. Israel’s response to the resulting second intifada was to
destroy Arafat’s structure of governance in both the West Bank and Gaza
in 2002, while effectively imprisoning the Palestinian leader until his
death in 2004.
Today, Israel is once again attempting to build up a Palestinian
leadership capable of serving its security interests. During the past
18 months, Israel cooperated with the United States in rebuilding the
Fatah security forces in the West Bank while simultaneously attempting
to destroy the elected Hamas government ruling in Gaza through intense
pressure on Gaza’s civilian population. This culminated in the
three-week war on Gaza that resulted in the deaths -- according to the
Gaza-based Palestinian Centre for Human Rights -- of 1,285 Palestinians,
including 895 civilians, of whom 280 were children, as well as the
destruction of schools, universities, government ministries, factories
and mosques.
In the absence of a political deal for the creation of a
Pales-tin-ian state, Palestinian security forces in the West Bank will
inevitably respond to social pressure to defend Palestinians from
Israelis -- including ever more aggressive settlers -- instead of the
other way around. Israel will respond, as it has in the past, by
destroying those security units and the civilian government to which
they report.
There is a better way.
If, as it appears, President Obama seeks to finally end this
conflict, America should stop playing Palestinian (or Israeli) politics
and begin pursuing American interests. This may require using American
allies -- such as Saudi Arabia, Turkey or the Europeans -- as mediators
with Hamas, while the United States engages directly with the elected
representatives of the Palestinians, including independent politicians.
The goal of any discussions with Hamas must be to ensure that Gaza
is opened to the world and that Hamas and Israel maintain a cease-fire
until a permanent agreement can be reached. The basis for this already
exists: Hamas has said it would end hostilities from Gaza for a period
of one year -- as opposed to Israel’s demand for 18 months -- in exchange
for a lifting of the siege on the 1.5 million Palestinians living
there. That is consistent with Israeli security interests.
In the West Bank, the United States should begin to negotiate with
Fatah, through the structure of the now symbolic Palestine Liberation
Organization, on a permanent-status agreement. But America should also
make it clear that it will not oppose a Palestinian unity government,
such as the one that resulted from the Mecca agreement of 2007, in
which the PLO would be empowered by Hamas to negotiate with the United
States and Israel on the condition that any agreement would be
submitted to a binding referendum. Ironically, after the failed
policies of the last eight years, Hamas may now be needed to legitimize
the PLO’s efforts.
One thing is certain: Continuation of the regime-change agenda of
the Bush era will again lead to death and suffering -- two elements that
are the worst enemies of a sustainable peace.
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