The federal government has a staggeringly successful record in not only bailing out industries deemed to be too big to fail, but in making money doing so.
It has become an axiom of American politics that government
will always and everywhere screw up if it gets hands-on control of a private
industry. In reporting President Obama's big plans for General Motors and
Chrysler on Tuesday, even the nominally liberal and learned New York Times bought into the notion,
observing that, "In the past, the United States government had briefly
nationalized steel makers and tried to run the railroads, with little success."
Perhaps many of us simply need to believe this about
government to preserve our worldview. Yet even the most casual follower of the
business pages, let alone of American economic history, should know better. The
federal government has a staggeringly successful record in not only bailing out
industries deemed to be too big to fail, but in making money doing so.
During the Nixon administration, Congress extended emergency
loans to failing aircraft builder Lockheed. The investment not only saved a
company vital to America's
national defense and export manufacturing base but earned the Treasury $5.4
million in interest.
In 1980, Jimmy Carter did the same for Chrysler and the
taxpayers, this time extending loan guarantees in exchange for stock warrants.
After the company returned to health and paid back its loans, government
pocketed a cool $311 million.
In the aftermath of 9/11, George W. Bush and Congress
granted airlines $5 billion in direct compensation for lost business and up to
$10 billion in loan guarantees, again in exchange for stock warrants. By
February 2007, airline stocks had recovered enough that the Treasury was able
to sell its warrants for a net profit of $119 million, with no loans left
outstanding.
Then there is the example most directly analogous to today's
failing Detroit.
This mother of all bailouts started in 1970 with what was at the time the
largest corporate bankruptcy in history-one that involved lurid accounts of
call girls and Swiss bank accounts, and that quickly spread to competitors,
threatening to take down the entire industry, along with its suppliers, many of
its customers, and the nation's credit markets. It ended with government
bureaucrats taking over the company and managing it with such skill that when
the Reagan administration decided to re-privatize it, the deal was the largest
public offering in Wall Street history.
That's the story of the old Penn Central Railroad, and it
provides very useful lessons for dealing with Detroit. The Penn Central was a colossus,
controlling most of the rail network throughout what was becoming America's Rust
Bowl. It was also a colossal mess beset by mounting competition from trucks,
prevented by government regulation from raising rates high enough to cover
costs, forced to run money-losing passenger trains, and stymied by politically
entrenched unions that extracted two days' pay for half a day's work.
Yet here was a company way too big to fail, and even more
central to the economy than General Motors because without it, carmakers could not
get the steel and other materials they need to make an automobile. The
solution: a new government entity called Consolidated Rail Corp., or Conrail
for short, whose government bureaucrats took over the Penn Central and other
railroads in the Northeast and Midwest in the
mid-1970s and earned such profits that they later became the subject of case
studies on corporate turnarounds.
How did they do it? A funny thing happened once politicians
in Washington
found themselves owning a gigantic, money-losing enterprise. They started
listening hard to what Conrail and other railways were saying about the public
policies that were driving the industry toward ruin. This is a key to
understanding why the Conrail "bailout" worked so well, and to why
the bailout of Detroit
could as well.
Politicians could grandstand all they wanted about the
sordid legacies of Penn Central's management, but now they had ownership of the
problem and had to concentrate and all on the ways in which public policy
contributed to it. In short order, Congress passed, and Jimmy Carter signed,
legislation that brought substantial regulatory relief to the rail industry,
while also relieving it of responsibility for money-losing passenger trains.
Soon, the entire freight rail industry, after decades of decline, began a
renaissance of profitability, luring more and more gas-guzzling trucks off the
highways and rebuilding, at its own expense, much of the nation's
once-abandoned rail infrastructure. Call it industrial policy if you like, call
it socialism, but it was a typically American solution that worked
spectacularly.
How do these examples apply to Detroit? We should not let ideology blind us
to the reality that direct government control of a central industry can work to
everyone's benefit, especially if government itself is part of the problem, as
it was with the railroads and still is for the automakers. Once Congress starts
paying General Motors' healthcare bill, for example, healthcare reform will
become a lot more likely. Similarly, a government that invests heavily in
electric automobiles will not want to undo its efforts by letting the cost of
gas drop below that of milk. From the building of the first canals and
land-grant railroads to the construction of the interstate highway system and
the Internet, government has always been deeply involved in managing and even
building the U.S.
economy, and most of the time for the better.
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