By the time Barack Obama was inaugurated, the neoliberal capture of the presidential branch of the Democratic Party was complete.
In my first
foray into political life in the 1970s, I worked during college on the
staff of a liberal Democrat in the Texas state Senate. Only a few years
earlier, Patty Hearst had been kidnapped and brainwashed by the
Symbionese Liberation Army, and a moral panic about cults seducing
college kids was sweeping the nation. One result was the rise of a new,
thankfully ephemeral profession: "deprogrammers" who for pay would
kidnap a young person from a cult and break the spell, by means of
isolation, interrogation and maybe reruns of "The Waltons."
A reactionary Republican state senator from the Houston
area, who was heartily despised by my senator, introduced a bill
granting parents the right to hire deprogrammers to kidnap adult
children who belonged to what the parents regarded as cults and then
confine them in motels for several weeks, subject to psychological
coercion, without notifying the authorities. Needless to say, this
deprogramming law was the greatest threat to the tradition of habeas
corpus until another reactionary Texan was installed in the White House
in 2001. The bill was laughed to death, when, during a hearing, the
sponsor was asked if it could be used to deprogram young people who had
joined a certain well-known cult. "Why, yes, Senator," the Republican
replied, "it would apply to cults like the Unitarians."
Boy, do we need deprogrammers now, to liberate Barack Obama from the cult of neoliberalism.
By neoliberalism I mean the ideology that replaced New
Deal liberalism as the dominant force in the Democratic Party between
the Carter and Clinton presidencies. In the Clinton years, this was
called the "Third Way." The term was misleading, because New Deal
liberalism between 1932 and 1968 and its equivalents in social
democratic Europe were considered the original "third way" between
democratic socialism and libertarian capitalism, whose failure had
caused the Depression. According to New Deal liberals, the United
States was not a "capitalist society" or a "market democracy" but
rather a democratic republic with a "mixed economy," in which the state
provided both social insurance and infrastructure like electric grids,
hydropower and highways, while the private sector engaged in mass
production.
When it came to the private sector, the New Dealers, with
some exceptions, approved of Big Business, Big Unions and Big
Government, which formed the system of checks and balances that John
Kenneth Galbraith called "countervailing power." But most New Dealers
dreaded and distrusted bankers. They thought that finance should be
strictly regulated and subordinated to the real economy of factories
and home ownership. They were economic internationalists because they
wanted to open foreign markets to U.S. factory products, not because
they hoped that the Asian masses some day would pay high overdraft fees
to U.S. multinational banks.
New Dealers approved of social insurance systems like
Social Security and Medicare, which were rights (entitlements) not
charity and which mostly redistributed income within the middle class,
from workers to nonworkers (the retired and the temporarily
unemployed). But contrary to conservative propaganda, New Deal liberals
disliked means-tested antipoverty programs and despised what Franklin
Roosevelt called "the dole." Roosevelt and his most important protégé,
Lyndon Johnson, preferred workfare to welfare. They preferred a
high-wage, low-welfare society to a low-wage, high-welfare society. To
maintain the high-wage system that would minimize welfare payments to
able-bodied adults, New Deal liberals did not hesitate to regulate the
labor market, by means of pro-union legislation, a high minimum wage,
and low levels of immigration (which were raised only at the end of the
New Deal period, beginning in 1965). It was only in the 1960s that
Democrats became identified with redistributionist welfarism -- and
then only because of the influence of the New Left, which denounced the
New Deal as "corporate liberalism."
Between the 1940s and the 1970s, the New Deal system --
large-scale public investment and R&D, regulated monopolies and
oligopolies, the subordination of banking to productive industry, high
wages and universal social insurance -- created the world's first mass
middle class. The system was far from perfect. Southern segregationist
Democrats crippled many of its progressive features and the industrial
unions were afflicted by complacency and corruption. But for all its
flaws, the New Deal era is still remembered as the Golden Age of the
American economy.
And then America went downhill.
The "stagflation" of the 1970s had multiple sources,
including the oil price shock following the Arab oil embargo in 1973
and the revival of German and Japanese industrial competition (China
was still recovering from the damage done by Mao). During the previous
generation, libertarian conservatives like Milton Friedman had been
marginalized. But in the 1970s they gained a wider audience, blaming
the New Deal model and claiming that the answer to every question
(before the question was even asked) was "the market."
The free-market fundamentalists found an audience among
Democrats as well as Republicans. A growing number of Democratic
economists and economic policymakers were attracted to the revival of
free-market economics, among them Obama's chief economic advisor Larry
Summers, a professed admirer of Milton Friedman. These center-right
Democrats agreed with the libertarians that the New Deal approach to
the economy had been too interventionist. At the same time, they
thought that government had a role in providing a safety net. The
result was what came to be called "neoliberalism" in the 1980s and
1990s -- a synthesis of conservative free-market economics with
"progressive" welfare-state redistribution for the losers. Its
institutional base was the Democratic Leadership Council, headed by
Bill Clinton and Al Gore, and the affiliated Progressive Policy
Institute.
Beginning in the Carter years, the Democrats later called
neoliberals supported the deregulation of infrastructure industries
that the New Deal had regulated, like airlines, trucking and
electricity, a sector in which deregulation resulted in California
blackouts and the Enron scandal. Neoliberals teamed up with
conservatives to persuade Bill Clinton to go along with the Republican
Congress's dismantling of New Deal-era financial regulations, a move
that contributed to the cancerous growth of Wall Street and the
resulting global economic collapse. As Asian mercantilist nations like
Japan and then China rigged their domestic markets while enjoying free
access to the U.S. market, neoliberal Democrats either turned a blind
eye to the foreign mercantilist assault on American manufacturing or
claimed that it marked the beneficial transition from an industrial
economy to a "knowledge economy." While Congress allowed inflation to
slash the minimum wage and while corporations smashed unions,
neoliberals chattered about sending everybody to college so they could
work in the high-wage "knowledge jobs" of the future. Finally, many
(not all) neoliberals agreed with conservatives that entitlements like
Social Security were too expensive, and that it was more efficient to
cut benefits for the middle class in order to expand benefits for the
very poor.
The transition from New Deal liberalism to neoliberalism
began with Carter, but it was not complete until the Clinton years.
Clinton, like Carter, ran as a populist and was elected on the basis of
his New Deal-ish "Putting People First" program, which emphasized
public investment and a tough policy toward Japanese industrial
mercantilism. But early in the first term, the Clinton administration
was captured by neoliberals, of whom the most important was Treasury
Secretary Robert Rubin. Under Rubin's influence, Clinton sacrificed
public investment to the misguided goal of balancing the budget, a
dubious accomplishment made possible only by the short-lived tech
bubble. And Rubin helped to wreck American manufacturing, by pursuing a
strong dollar policy that helped Wall Street but hurt American
exporters and encouraged American companies to transfer production for
the U.S. domestic market to China and other Asian countries that
deliberately undervalued their currencies to help their exports.
By the time Barack Obama was inaugurated, the neoliberal
capture of the presidential branch of the Democratic Party was
complete. Instead of presiding over an administration with diverse
economic views, Obama froze out progressives, except for Jared
Bernstein in the vice-president's office, and surrounded himself with
neoliberal protégés of Robert Rubin like Larry Summers and Tim
Geithner. The fact that Robert Rubin's son James helped select Obama's
economic team may not be irrelevant.
Instead of the updated Rooseveltonomics that America
needs, Obama's team offers warmed-over Rubinomics from the 1990s.
Consider the priorities of the Obama administration: the environment,
healthcare and education. Why these priorities, as opposed to others,
like employment, high wages and manufacturing? The answer is that these
three goals co-opt the activist left while fitting neatly into a
neoliberal narrative that could as easily have been told in 1999 as in
2009. The story is this: New Dealers and Keynesians are wrong to think
that industrial capitalism is permanently and inherently prone to
self-destruction, if left to itself. Except in hundred-year disasters,
the market economy is basically sound and self-correcting. Government
can, however, help the market indirectly, by providing these three
public goods, which, thanks to "market failures," the private sector
will not provide.
Healthcare? New Deal liberals favored a single-payer
system like Social Security and Medicare. Obama, however, says that
single payer is out of the question because the U.S. is not Canada.
(Evidently the New Deal America of FDR and LBJ was too "Canadian.") The
goal is not to provide universal healthcare, rather it is to provide
universal health insurance, by means that, even if they include a
shriveled "public option," don't upset the bloated American private
health insurance industry.
Education? In the 1990s, the conventional wisdom of the
neoliberal Democrats held that the "jobs of the future" were "knowledge
jobs." America's workers would sit in offices with diplomas on the wall
and design new products that would be made in third-world sweatshops.
We could cede the brawn work and keep the brain work. Since then, we've
learned that brain work follows brawn work overseas. R&D, finance
and insurance jobs tend to follow the factories to Asia.
Education is also used by neoliberals to explain stagnant
wages in the U.S. By claiming that American workers are insufficiently
educated for the "knowledge economy," neoliberal Democrats divert
attention from the real reasons for stagnant and declining wages -- the
offshoring of manufacturing, the decline of labor unions, and, at the
bottom of the labor market, a declining minimum wage and mass unskilled
immigration. One study after another since the 1990s has refuted the
theory that wage inequality results from skill-biased technical change.
But the neoliberal cultists around Obama who write his economic
speeches either don't know or don't care. Like Bill Clinton before him,
Barack Obama continues to tell Americans that to get higher wages they
need to go to college and improve their skills, as though there weren't
a surplus of underemployed college grads already.
Environment? Here the differences between the New Deal
Democrats and the Obama Democrats could not be wider. Their
pro-industrial program did not prevent New Deal Democrats from being
passionate about resource conservation and wilderness preservation.
They did not hesitate to use regulations to shut down pollution. And
their approach to energy was based on direct government R&D (the
Manhattan Project) and direct public deployment (the TVA).
Contrast the straightforward New Deal approaches with the
energy and environment policies of Obama and the Democratic leadership,
which are at once too conservative and too radical. They are too
conservative, because cap and trade relies on a system of market
incentives that are not only indirect and feeble but likely to create a
subprime market in carbon, enriching a few green profiteers. At the
same time, they are too radical, because any serious attempt to shift
the U.S. economy in a green direction by hiking the costs of
non-renewable energy would accelerate the transfer of U.S. industry to
Asia -- and with it not only industry-related "knowledge jobs" but also
the manufacture of those overhyped icons of the "green economy," solar
panels and windmills.
While we can't go back to the New Deal of the mid-20th
century in its details, we need to re-create its spirit. But short of
confining them in motel rooms and making them watch newsreels about the
Hoover Dam, Glass-Steagall, the TVA and the Manhattan Project, is it
possible to liberate President Obama and the Democratic leadership from
the cult of neoliberalism?
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