The interests of taxpayers and Wall Street firms will often be in direct conflict, and we need someone at Treasury whom we can trust to represent the former over the latter.
With all the talk of a new "Great Depression,"
Herbert Hoover has enjoyed an ignominious revival. On the day when Lehman
Brothers winked out of existence and the simmering financial crisis boiled over,
John McCain infamously pronounced that the "fundamentals of the economy
are strong," a phrase that uncomfortably echoed Hoover's 1929
pronouncement that "the fundamental business of the country...is on a
sound and prosperous basis."
Hoover's
inaction in the face of the mounting crisis has made him an enduring symbol of
economic mismanagement, but as bad he was, his neglect was nowhere near that of
his secretary of the treasury, Andrew Mellon. Faced with a financial crisis
even greater in scale than our current troubles, the multi-billionaire robber
baron said, more or less, "Bring it on": "Liquidate labor,
liquidate stocks, liquidate the farmers, liquidate real estate!" Mellon
railed, "It will purge the rottenness out of the system. High costs of
living and high living will come down. People will work harder, live a more
moral life. Values will be adjusted, and enterprising people will pick up the
wrecks from less competent people"
In welcoming the widespread immiseration of the populace,
Mellon was simply giving voice to his (very) narrow class interest: depression
brought with it a sharp deflation that would increase the wealth of the holders
of great stores of capital like himself, and provide ample opportunities to
purchase assets at steeply discounted prices. Though he was putatively the
treasury secretary of the entire country, his views reflected the narrow
interests of his fellow Wall Street tycoons.
Mellon's failure is a startling reminder of just how
important the secretary of the treasury can be. Certainly that has never been
the case more than it is now: The next treasury secretary will oversee hundreds
of billions of dollars of bailout money, and will have statutory authority to
spend it pretty much any way he or she sees fit. So far, the best we can say
about Hank Paulson is that he's not quite as bad as Andrew Mellon. Like Mellon,
Paulson cut his teeth on Wall Street, overseeing Goldman Sachs while the
speculative bubble of credit inflated. When the bubble burst, Paulson's initial
bailout proposal included a provision explicitly barring oversight. And
throughout the crisis, Paulson has failed to put in obvious safeguards, like
banning banks from issuing dividends or disclosing what deals Treasury has
struck (and with whom) to administer the handout.
Starting with the very first secretary of the treasury, Alexander
Hamilton, the office has, traditionally been held by a denizen of Wall Street.
But at this moment, whatever the benefits of hands-on experience with finance
brings, it comes at high cost: a tendency to believe that what's best for Wall
Street is necessarily best for the country as a whole.
But the inescapable fact is that the interests of taxpayers
and Wall Street firms will often be in direct conflict, and we need someone at
Treasury whom we can trust to represent the former over the latter.
So there are two simple criteria for president-elect Obama's
treasury secretary: First, no Wall Streeters; second, no one who helped to
create the current financial crisis.
Over the course of his campaign, Obama (rightly) railed
about the flawed economic philosophy of aggressive deregulation that brought on
the current crisis. But Obama failed to mention that this agenda was pursued
every step of the way with bipartisan fervor. Indeed, some of the strongest
supporters of deregulation were President Clinton's old economic brain trust,
led by Robert Rubin and current treasury secretary front-runner Lawrence
Summers. Like much of the Clinton
team, Summers and Rubin were outspoken and unrelenting enthusiasts for the
laissez-faire mania of the late 1990s. Summers, who once wrote that Africa was, from a market perspective "under-
polluted," also supported the abolition of capital flow restrictions in
developing countries, a catastrophic policy that triggered the Asian financial
crisis and nearly led to a global meltdown. When the late Enron CEO Kenneth Lay
wrote Summers in 1999 to congratulate him on his appointment as Treasury
Secretary, Summers wrote back, adding a hand-written PS: "I'll keep my eye
on power deregulation and energy market infrastructure issues." We all
know how that worked out.
So if not a Wall Street baron and not Summers, who's left?
Nobel laureate Joseph Stiglitz served in the Clinton White House but
distinguished himself then and now for his thoughtful criticisms of the
deregulatory orthodoxy of that time. Economist and former Federal Reserve
Chairman Paul Volcker meets both established criteria: he's not a creature of
Wall Street, and he warned of the unsustainable excesses of the last dozen
years of the bubble economy. But perhaps the best choice available is also one
of the least known: FDIC head Sheila Bair.
As a one-time small-town Kansas banker, registered Republican and
former staffer to Bob Dole, Bair would also make history as the first woman to head
Treasury in the nation's history. Most importantly, Bair is one of the few
officials to distinguish herself during the crisis: managing the failure of
IndyMac in an efficient, orderly manner and openly pushing for a bottom-up
solution to the housing crisis that directly aids stressed borrowers. What
recommends Bair the most is the fact that she's first and foremost a regulator,
someone whose world view is shaped by a mandate to oversee the excesses of
private actors rather than enable them. Wall Street might not be thrilled to
have someone like Bair at the helm at Treasury, but they've had their views
well represented for a very long time--and look where it's gotten us.
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