It all seems to boil down to seeking a kinder, gentler form of global dominance. This may be a more intelligent strategy for preserving US global preeminence than Donald Rumsfeld's, but one that ignores a central reality...
At first glance, the new national defense strategy released by Secretary of
Defense Robert Gates recently looks like a new start, with much talk of working
with allies and -- heaven forbid -- even other US government agencies.
Gates comes across as the "anti-Rumsfeld," replacing his
predecessor's bluster with quiet diplomacy, and an overreliance on military
force with a more pragmatic, balanced approach to security. The new strategy
document reflects these differences.
This is not the first time that Gates has embraced the themes set out in the
new strategy document. In a speech this year at Kansas
State University,
he called for substantial increases in spending for the State Department,
pointing out that there are fewer professional diplomats in the Foreign Service
than there are personnel on an average aircraft carrier task force (of which
the United States
has 12).
But lest his audience think he had truly gone wobbly, Gates also stressed
that he did not want these new funds to come at the expense of growing Pentagon
budgets.
The defense secretary seems to want to have it both ways - to prepare for
conventional and irregular warfare; to get civilian help on tasks like
reconstruction, development, and governance while institutionalizing the
Pentagon's own capabilities in these areas; to have a strategic dialogue with
China while maintaining US dominance; and to seek stronger alliances while
opposing anything that would limit US "freedom of action" -- even
though real alliance-building generally requires limiting one's freedom of
action.
It all seems to boil down to seeking a kinder, gentler form of global
dominance. This may be a more intelligent strategy for preserving US global preeminence than Donald Rumsfeld's,
but one that ignores a central reality: the United States is losing the
economic, political, and cultural underpinnings of its post-World War II
dominance. With chronic trade and budget deficits, a weak dollar, and an
inability to rally adequate international support for its objectives in Iraq and Afghanistan,
Washington's
ability to win friends and intimidate adversaries has declined substantially.
Even given these flaws, there are a few interesting strands in the Gates
document. It talks about the military not being the primary tool for keeping
weapons of mass destruction from terrorists, or for thwarting cyber-attacks.
But even here, the Gates document argues for military capabilities if civilian
strategies don't pan out.
Gates also talks about looking forward to the day when terrorism is just a
"nuisance" that can be handled by law enforcement. This is
dangerously close to the position that got John F. Kerry in trouble in the 2004
election campaign. Finally, the document suggests the need to address the
"root causes" of terrorism, an approach that was anathema under
Rumsfeld's leadership.
What hasn't changed in the Gates strategy is the expansive definition of US interests, including "protecting"
free trade and the flow of resources to the United States and its allies. Without
a change in the definition of US interests, major change in US defense
policy is unlikely.
The biggest obstacle to implementing the new Pentagon strategy is money.
With two wars already underway and serious economic problems domestically, the
military budget could level off or even fall relative to inflation. If so,
there would need to be cuts in longer-term programs. Either that, or the United States
would have to shut down one or both of the current wars.
So, like it or not, the next administration will be forced to make choices --
between military spending and diplomacy; between expensive Cold War weapons and
provisions for troops involved in current conflicts; and between a military
strategy of "global reach" and finding the resources to address pressing
domestic needs. In this area at least, a little budget discipline could go
along way toward the crafting of better -- and more realistic -- approaches to
defending the United States
and its global interests.
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