Obama will be well served to continue Bush’s mantle as a strong executive; he’d also be well served to take note of the Wilsonian-like failures incurred by abandoning the Congress.
Over the past eight years, many have suggested that President George
W. Bush’s arrogance lies at the root of his failed policies. His
resolve that we simply “stay the course,” without adjustment or
alteration -- as Iraq descended into a brutal civil war -- being the most
noteworthy example. Ironically, I wonder whether that same unrelenting
confidence -- stripped of the stubbornness -- is exactly what is required
to keep America from economic collapse.
Presidents clearly possess an unusual hue of character. John Kennedy
once remarked the presidency is not a normal ambition. And confidence
is surely a prerequisite. But evenhandedness and boundless
self-assurance are not.
I’ve been reading an excellent new biography of Franklin Roosevelt
by H.W. Brands, “Traitor to His Class.” Over the past few weeks I’ve
resisted the temptation to draw comparisons between Barack Obama and
FDR -- but this book suggests striking similarities between the two.
Perhaps most interesting: the sense of calm exuded -- a “sturdy,
confident tenor.”
Brands weaves the story of Roosevelt as a president who managed to
form a unique bond with the American people, a leader whose confidence
and steadiness righted a nation by understanding the presidency as
“above all, a moral office.”
The economic collapse, it seems to me, is deeply entwined with
questions of confidence. Last week, three-month Treasury bills briefly
sold at a rate below zero. That’s to say investors bought bonds -- with
further demand that could have allowed for an additional $30 billion to
be sold -- with the expectation of losing about 1 percent. They did it
to have the T-bills on their books for the close of the year, alongside
troubling investments that have been deemed “toxic,” to instill
confidence in their portfolios. We face a liquidity crisis not because
banks are insolvent, but rather because they lack the confidence to
lend. We face a volatile market because investors lack confidence in
corporations to weather the instability, and lack confidence in
commodity prices remaining stable.
After watching Obama carefully for a couple of years now, I’d say he
has a bashful swagger, an attitude that swelled after defeating Hillary
Clinton in the primaries, but then seemed to retreat in the first days
of November -- possibly as the weight of his spoils became clear.
Upon being either celebrated or lovingly jeered, he takes a bashful
smile, looking off toward the ground. When confronted harshly in
debates, he stared back with a steely poise rather than shaking his
head or squirming with frustration.
I’m not so much confident in Obama as convinced that it will require
unbridled executive action to return the bedrock of confidence to the
financial system -- the same kind of authoritarian management of
Congress and self-confidence that led Roosevelt to attempt to stack the
Supreme Court. It was an act that required a level of tenacity that
even the Bush administration hasn’t shown.
Dick Cheney told reporters Monday he expects President Obama to
enjoy the expansion of executive power he and Bush hollowed out over
the past eight years. “I think the Obama administration is not likely
to cede that authority back to the Congress. I think they’ll find that
given a challenge they face, they’ll need all the authority they can
muster.”
Brands points out Roosevelt took heed of a previous president’s
failure to form a working relationship with Congress. Woodrow Wilson’s
failure to advance the League of Nations through Senate approval was
the defining aspect of his presidency, in Roosevelt’s eyes, and a
defeat he tied to Wilson’s failure to enlist members of Congress as
stakeholders in the concept of the league.
Obama will be well served to continue Bush’s mantle as a strong
executive; he’d also be well served to take note of the Wilsonian-like
failures incurred by abandoning the Congress. Bush’s impotence to push
a long promised free-trade arrangement with Colombia through the Senate
has been a major force bolstering adversaries in Latin America. Failed
immigration reform and a stalled auto industry bailout are two more
significant examples.
I worry that the public’s attention span is shorter now than the
last time we faced such collapse. That improvisation of bold reforms
and restructuring will be curtailed when some measures inevitably fall
short. “The country needs -- and, unless I mistake its temper, the
country demands -- bold, persistent experimentation ... above all, try
something,” Roosevelt said.
Try something, Mr. President-elect. And if it fails, have the confidence to try something else. And something else.
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