It turns out that nothing brings the left and right together quite like a Big Government intervention on behalf of Big Money.
What a long, strange week in Washington.
Early on, you could tell things were not proceeding along
their usual track. At the Senate Banking and Finance Committee, right-wing
Republican Jim Bunning laid into the bailout plan as "socialism" that
was "un-American," and was met by cheers and acclamations from ACORN
and Code Pink members in attendance. (So much, in fact, that Bunning crankily
told them to pipe down. "I've been doing this long enough," he said.
"I don't need any help.") The next day at the joint economic hearing,
after progressive stalwart Lloyd Doggett of Texas railed against the bill's cost, Ron
Paul quipped, "You've confused me a bit because I don't know who the
conservatives are and who the liberals are! I'm gonna keep trying to figure it
out." And a couple of days later, MSNBC viewers were treated to the
spectacle of Republican Senator Richard Shelby of Alabama railing against the bailout on The
Rachel Maddow Show.
The sober mandarins who set the Beltway conventional wisdom
love to praise bipartisanship, but this is not the kind of bipartisanship they
have in mind. It turns out that nothing brings the left and right together
quite like a Big Government intervention on behalf of Big Money. With the
partisan affiliations scrambled, the fissures broke this way: on one side, the
self-proclaimed responsible Establishment--Paulson, Bernanke, Bush and the
Congressional leadership of both parties--and on the other side, the ideologues
and the populists.
Despite the possible benefits that would accrue to a
candidate who channeled the anger Americans feel at having to clean up Wall
Street's mess, both presidential candidates threw in their lot with the
Establishment. Neither covered himself in glory: John McCain's ludicrous stunt
trip to Washington
helped derail the very compromise he had said was so urgent. Obama, meanwhile,
kneecapped the efforts of progressives to force much-needed provisions like a
reform of bankruptcy law, publicly stating that this (minor) concession
shouldn't be in the bill. In the end--like Pontius Pilate in front of a mob of
angry bankers--each pledged to vote for the bill despite his misgivings.
The bill's 228-to-205 defeat on September 29 was one of the
most stunning and unexpected votes in recent history. Press coverage in the
aftermath pointed to partisan bickering, but the simplest answer to why the
bill failed was that it was massively unpopular. Polling may be contradictory
on this point. The characterization of the package--as a "bailout," a
"rescue" or an attempt to "secure" financial markets--seems
to determine whether people support it or not. But lawmakers were not getting
mixed messages from their constituents. Calls to Congressional offices were
running 100 to one against the bill. An Ohio
man was so exercised about the bailout, he drove seven hours from Westerville to Washington
to share in person his concerns with his senator, Sherrod Brown. As the website
FiveThirtyEight.com noted, the roll call confirms that an aye vote was
perceived as political suicide: of the thirty-eight members engaged in tossup
races, only eight voted for the bill. Meanwhile, of the twenty-six members
retiring in the fall, twenty-one voted for it.
At first blush the defeat seemed like a triumph of
democracy, but I'm not quite ready to declare victory. In the absence of a
legislative solution, it will be left to the inherently undemocratic Federal
Reserve to keep the system from imploding. And the financial crisis, while
perhaps not quite as pressing as Henry Paulson would have us believe, is real.
Credit markets at home and abroad are shot through with a terrifying degree of
systemic dysfunction.
There is a need for effective, enlightened and just
intervention, but how we get from here to there is deeply unclear. The
eccentric coalition that defeated the first bill can't serve as much of a basis
for a better one: much of the conservative opposition in the House seems rooted
in a desire to let the whole thing crash and burn for the sake of preserving
their philosophical worldview. "For the sake of the altar of the
free-market system," one unnamed GOP lawmaker asked rhetorically, "do
you accept a Great Depression?" The sane members of Congress, almost
entirely Democrats, are left in the position of trying to craft a bill that can
pass and that will accomplish what's needed. But the two might very well be
mutually exclusive. A truly progressive version of the bill would directly
recapitalize failing banks, tax stock transfers specifically or the financial
services industry generally to recoup the costs and, crucially, include a
fiscal stimulus directed at working people--bankruptcy reform, loan
modifications for families facing foreclosure, an increase in food stamps,
extension of unemployment insurance and large-scale public investment in green
infrastructure to create jobs. But there's little chance that a bill like that
could pass the House, never mind clear the sixty votes it would almost
certainly need in the Senate. While it would no doubt gain the votes of
progressive Democrats, it would just as likely lose an equal number of
Republicans. So it is far more likely that by the time you read this, the
specter of a badly shaken economy coupled with a few stern lectures from the
Chamber of Commerce and Business Roundtable lobbyists will have Republican
members eating their principles and voting yes. Then progressives will have to
regroup for the fight around the next big financial bill come January.
The way things are going, one thing's certain: more will be
necessary.
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