Either political reform and accountability will slowly take root, or China's modernization will falter.
Only a short time after China's
magnificent Olympic coming-out party, the land of Mao's
successors found itself making less celebratory news.
"Tainted Milk Formula Sickens Thousands of Chinese Infants" read
one of many recent headlines. Twenty-two companies that produce or distribute
milk powder had been secretly adding melamine, normally used for making
plastics and glue, into milk powder, making thousands of infants sick and
causing several deaths.
It is one of the puzzling questions about China: How can a country that
organized such a splendid Olympic splash be the same country that produces
deadly food scares on a regular basis?
The answer says a lot about today's China. In its March to modernity, Beijing's ruling
Communist Party took off the economic shackles of the Mao years and relaunched
the country as a capitalist-communist state - a real oddball coupling, if ever
there was one. Part of this process involved the radical devolution of economic
power to over 30 provinces, fostering a kind of anarchic federalism.
As with American federalism, the national government in China is
responsible for certain duties and the country's provincial governments are
responsible for others. But in China,
none of this arrangement is written down or spelled out anywhere, as it is in
the U.S. Constitution.
Instead, it is still a work in progress, with provincial officials taking as
much rope as they dare. Power at the provincial level is still vested in the
local Communist Party, but also intertwined with personal and family networks,
motivated by the former leader Deng Xiaoping's maxim, "to get rich
is glorious."
That's an odd motivation for the heirs of Karl Marx, and in practice it's
led to lots of cronyism and corruption.
The scale of corruption in China
is startling. The Chinese researcher Sun Yan has written that the average
"take" in the 1980s was $5,000, but now it is over $250,000. The
number of arrests of senior Communist Party members quadrupled between 1992 and
2001. Four provincial governors and one provincial party secretary recently
were charged with corruption.
Even at the level of the central government, corruption has been
debilitating and helps set the national tone. High-level officials, including
the mayor of Beijing, a vice chairman of the National People's Congress, the
former president of the Bank of China, the vice governor of the People's Bank
of China and the director of China's foreign exchange administration, were
arrested and imprisoned for embezzlement and fraud. One of them eventually was
executed, and another leaped to his death.
To put that in perspective, says the author Will Hutton, it would be as if
the mayor of New York,
the speaker of the House of Representatives, and the chief executives of
Goldman Sachs and Citibank, along with a governor of the Federal Reserve, were
all either imprisoned for fraud, executed or committed suicide.
The Chinese economist Hu Angang has estimated an annual economic loss due to
corruption of approximately 15 percent of GDP. In this climate, cutting foreign
substances into milk formula, pet food or medicine becomes standard operating
procedure, like a drug dealer looking to maximize the street value of his stash
by mixing in filler material.
To be fair, not all the provinces and not all the business people or
bureaucrats engage in such illicit behavior. And China's leadership has taken steps
to crack down. Punishments have been increased, tougher laws have been passed.
Officials now are forbidden to enter business relationships with family members.
Audits and anti-corruption screenings have been introduced.
But when I questioned a Chinese official about corruption, his defense -
"we're not as bad as Burma"
- was hardly convincing.
Yes, the central government in Beijing
can use its authoritarian power to pull off a brilliant Olympics party. And
over the past 30 years, the Chinese leadership has accomplished the remarkable
feat of lifting 400 million people out of poverty. But China is still
very much a developing country, plagued by a mess of contradictions.
It is difficult to imagine how the country's anarchic, robber-baron ways
will serve China
well for the next 30 years. Either political reform and accountability will
slowly take root, or China's
modernization will falter.
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