Aside from the mayoral races in New York and Los Angeles, the
gubernatorial contests in Virginia and New Jersey, and a scattered
few special congressional elections, not much is going on politically
this year. For the 20th century's most prolific political family,
however, 2001 is not an off-year.
Here at home, Max Kennedy looks as though he is preparing a
bid to succeed retiring US Representative Joe Moakley. Max's
older brother, former US Representative Joseph P. Kennedy II,
continues to be mentioned as a gubernatorial candidate, despite
his announcement that he will not run. Meanwhile, in Maryland,
their sister Lieutenant Governor Kathleen Kennedy Townsend is
gearing up to run for governor.
The idea of a Kennedy running for office is anything but new.
But the number of families following their lead these days is.
Indeed, a new wave of candidates, albeit from less august dynasties,
has emerged to follow their forebears into the political arena.
Given their number -- and the ways in which politics is evolving
in their favor -- the nation may well be entering a new Golden
Age of political aristocrats. Consider:
In Pennsylvania, Auditor General Bob Casey Jr., the son
and namesake of the late two-term governor, is angling to
run for the governor's mansion.
Fellow Pennsylvanian Bill Shuster, 40, a car dealer, in
February won the Republican Party nomination to succeed his
father, US Representative Bud Shuster.
Former secretary of Housing and Urban Development Andrew
Cuomo, the son of Mario Cuomo and the husband of Max and Joe
and Kathleen's sister Kerry Kennedy, is running for governor
of New York, a job his father had for three terms.
Los Angeles City Attorney Jim Hahn, the son of former city
supervisor Kenneth Hahn, placed second in the crowded Los
Angeles mayoral primary and is in the runoff for the June
5 election.
US Representative John Sununu, namesake of the former New
Hampshire governor, is being touted as a potential US Senate
candidate to challenge a fellow Republican, the out-of-favor
incumbent, Bob Smith.
Of course, Massachusetts -- and the United States -- have
always had political dynasties. The Adamses of Quincy produced
two presidents, several congressmen, and assorted Cabinet
secretaries. But most intergenerational political powerhouses
peter out rapidly.
As recently as the mid-1990s, children of political families
found it tough going. Jeb Bush, then a son and now also a brother
of a president, lost his first attempt to become Florida governor
in 1994. Jerry Brown, the former governor of California and
the son of a governor of California, bombed in several 1990s
comeback attempts before settling in as mayor of Oakland. Minnesota
Attorney General Hubert H. Humphrey III, son of the late vice
president and US senator, suffered the supreme ignominy of losing
the 1998 governor's race to erstwhile professional wrestler
Jesse Ventura.
There are other failures, too, within the new wave of ''all
in the family'' candidates. Witness the inability last November
of US Representative Pat Danner, a four-term Missouri Democrat,
to hand off her congressional seat to her son Steve.
But overall, the last few years have given political bonus
babies more receptive audiences. And it's not just that the
last presidential campaign was fought by two members of American
political royalty.
US Representative Harold Ford Jr., 30, who inherited his father's
Tennessee seat in 1996, gave the keynote address at last summer's
Democratic National Convention. Last fall, political spouses
Jean Carnahan and Hillary Rodham Clinton were elected in history-making
US Senate races. Famous sons winning reelection included Ford's
fellow congressmen Sununu and Democrats Ken Bentsen of Texas
(son of the former US senator, vice presidential candidate,
and Clinton Treasury secretary Lloyd Bentsen), Mark Udall of
Colorado (son of the former congressman and presidential candidate
Morris Udall), and Tom Udall of New Mexico (son of the former
Interior secretary Stuart Udall).
How well the current and expanding crop of ''all in the family''
candidates succeeds, of course, is not yet known. But as a group
they have more going for them than their predecessors.
The evolving nature of politics is working in their favor.
Given the fragmentation of the media and the declining attention
span of the American voter, most people do not focus on campaigns
until the last few weeks. As a result, unknown candidates often
have difficulty building sufficient name recognition.
The increasingly dense media miasma generated by 24-hour cable
channels and the Internet makes a recognizable political name
even more important, and will continue to do so. In 1995, when
Jesse Jackson Jr., 30, entered the special election to fill
a congressional seat on Chicago's South Side, the longtime powerbase
of his father, virtually every constituent knew the younger
Jackson's name.
Indeed, politics these days is as much about branding and marketing
as it is about policy. And in certain areas, political names
are extremely effective brands, and that goes beyond the Kennedys
in Massachusetts. Kenneth Hahn was a beloved liberal Democratic
local politician in Los Angeles. (A city government building
and a local state park are named after him.) So when his son
Jim decided to run for mayor, he used television advertisements
to emphasize the family ties -- even though he had already been
elected Los Angeles city attorney four times.
Support among the African-American community, where his father
was particularly popular, helped Hahn collect 25 percent of
the total primary vote and vaulted him into the upcoming runoff.
Aside from purchasing expensive advertising, the best way to
establish a political brand is to garner free media coverage.
And as a rule, aristocratic politicians offer better human interest
stories than their run-of-the-mill counterparts.
The media particularly love the story line of a son or daughter
trying to avenge a parent's loss. George W. Bush's campaign
was propelled, in part, by the story line of a faithful son
seeking to unseat the team that had unceremoniously crushed
his father, George H. W. Bush, in 1992. Just so, should Andrew
Cuomo win the Democratic nomination for governor next year in
New York, he would likely challenge the man who ended his father's
government career in 1994, Governor George Pataki.
Members of political families often get catapulted to the top
as more logical candidates are bypassed. When veteran Republican
US Senator John Chafee died in 1999, Rhode Island Governor Lincoln
Almond appointed Chafee's son, Warwick Mayor Lincoln Chafee,
to succeed him -- as per the venerable father's wishes.
In January, after winning reelection for a 15th term in his
safely Republican western Pennsylvania, Bud Shuster decided
to step down. (Shuster had been sanctioned by the House Ethics
Committee and was about to lose his chairmanship of the House
Transportation Committee.) But by waiting until after the election,
he was able to ease the way for his son. Instead of holding
an open primary, 133 local party officials gathered in February
to choose their nominee for the special election to be held
this month. Not surprisingly, Bill Shuster came in first among
the field of 10.
When such behind-the-scenes maneuverings fail, there is always
money. Aristocratic politicians are easily able to outraise
their less-well-connected challengers. When George W. Bush ran
for Congress in 1978, he used his mother's Christmas card list
as a fund-raising vehicle. (It didn't help him, as it turned
out.)
In New York, State Comptroller Carl McCall was, until recently,
the runaway front-runner for the Democratic nomination for governor.
McCall is the only African-American ever elected to statewide
office in New York. He had laboriously lined up the endorsements
of hundreds of state and local Democratic officials, and raised
a multimillion-dollar war chest. Only a crank could challenge
such a juggernaut. Or a political aristocrat.
Andrew Cuomo is justifiably confident of his ability to raise
the millions necessary to compete. In one recent week, Ethel
Kennedy hosted a fund-raiser at her Virginia estate for her
son-in-law. The same night, Cuomo and wife Kerry attended a
New York fund-raiser hosted by Hollywood aristocrats Billy Baldwin
and Chynna Phillips. Then it was off to California, where he
was slated to raise up to $2 million.
The fact that money and access make a difference in politics
is not news. And aristocratic politics is a nonpartisan, equal-opportunity
phenomenon. But the trend is nonetheless troubling. This is,
after all, the most meritocratic of countries, where a poor
child born in Hope, Ark., (Bill Clinton), or Johnson City, Texas,
(Lyndon B. Johnson), or Yorba Linda, Calif., (Richard Nixon),
can rise to become the leader of the most powerful nation on
earth.
But if family politics continues to grow, it could undermine
this fundamental promise. And the ways in which the powerful
and connected use the system to perpetuate their own family
power can be unseemly in a democratic nation.
Finally, there is ample reason to believe that genetics is
not necessarily the best test for political leadership.
Copyright 2001, The Boston Globe
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