According to many observers, the United
States, under the leadership of the Clinton administration,
has replaced Japan as the enemy of free trade in the world.
In their view, the administration destroyed the World Trade
Organization talks in Seattle by refusing to discuss amending
its anti-dumping laws, which aim to counter unfairly priced
imports, and has slapped innocent Japanese steel imports with
prohibitive duties. (Dumping is the practice of foreign producers
selling products here below their costs.) It is true that the
Clinton administration has been outmaneuvered in the public
relations campaign, but in reality it is still Japan that threatens
the cause of free trade and distorts the world steel market.
Although Japan has made progress in liberalizing its economy
in recent years, the agricultural, forestry and fishery sectors
are still quite protected. Tariffs on manufactured forest products
and fishery products continue to protect industries that are
not competitive. On behalf of these domestic interests, none
of which are likely to contribute much to Japan's economic future,
Tokyo worked to block much of the liberalization agenda in Seattle.
Japan also orchestrated a high-profile campaign against U.S.
trade laws aimed at stirring developing-country interest in
winning limits on anti-dumping laws, which aim to stop unfair
pricing. Free-traders will likely see this as a more appropriate
cause for Japan, but this cause seems much shakier upon closer
examination. First, new rules on anti-dumping were just rewritten
in the last round of multilateral trade negotiations; the new
agreement made literally dozens of changes in anti-dumping procedures,
most aimed at benefiting companies accused of dumping. These
changes still are not fully implemented in many countries. What
sense does it make to begin a major new negotiation on the same
topic before the current rules have even been tested?
Second, anti-dumping laws are not a major problem for developing
countries. Less than 1% of developing-country exports to the
United States are covered by anti-dumping orders. It is impossible
to make a credible case that anti-dumping duties are a major
problem for the developing world.
The real motivation for the Japanese interest lies much closer
to home: the recent U.S. anti-dumping actions against Japanese
steel producers, who are hardly a shining example of free trade.
By most objective measures, the Japanese steel market is entirely
noncompetitive; imports have remained low for decades and the
domestic market is controlled by a cartel of Japan's major steel
producers. All manner of price shocks, supply disruptions and
market changes have rocked the world steel market but, thanks
to the cartel, none of these global changes have more than a
glancing impact on the Japanese steel market.
The actions of the Japanese steel cartel also have an impact
outside Japan through export dumping. Price data drawn from
respected industry pricing services repeatedly show Japanese
companies selling steel to Japanese consumers at much higher
prices than the same steel is sold for export; in short, dumping--and
chiefly in the U.S. market.
During the global steel crisis, Japanese steel companies dramatically
increased the volume of dumped exports to the U.S. market. Exports
of some varieties of steel increased 100%. In effect, Japanese
companies avoided shutdowns and layoffs that would logically
result from the collapse of their Asian markets by exporting
the problem to the United States. Under these conditions, the
U.S. anti-dumping actions seem entirely predictable and justifiable.
Some U.S. observers have accused Japan of pursuing a Machiavellian
strategy. According to this view, Japan's main objective was
avoiding further agricultural liberalization. Realistic thinkers
within the Japanese government knew well that the effort to
whip up international efforts to reopen anti-dumping laws would
fail. Still, the calculation was that pressing the issue at
this juncture could force the United States to abandon the entire
effort through the WTO.
Even if the critics are wrong in accusing Japan of engineering
the collapse of WTO talks, it is hard to argue that Japan has
taken any responsibility for moving the talks forward. There
is blame to go around for the collapse in Seattle, but Japan
unquestionably deserves a large measure. The country that has
benefited so much from the liberal trading system should shoulder
more of the burden of supporting it, both by liberalizing its
own economy and working to actively advance multilateral efforts.
Copyright 2000, Los Angeles Times
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