Far from representing a new "third way," targeted tax breaks are among the oldest and largest components of U.S. social spending.
Democrats have long been tarred with the "tax-and-spend"
label. Yet, as President Bill Clinton's recently released budget demonstrates,
they might be better described as the "tax-and-credit" party.
Still chastened by policy defeats in the mid-1990s, the president and
congressional Democrats have shied away from new spending programs and
instead proposed targeted tax breaks for health care, child care, education
and other social aims.
This new strategy was vividly displayed in Clinton's State of the Union
address. Of the hundreds of billions of dollars in new initiatives that
Democrats gleefully applauded, virtually all are administered through
the tax code. They include an expanded tax break for college tuition,
new tax subsidies for retirement savings, a package of tax proposals
to encourage charitable giving, an expanded tax credit for long-term
health care and a bevy of tax breaks for health insurance. Perhaps the
reductio ad absurdum of the strategy is a school-construction plan that,
instead of simply allocating new federal dollars, gives tax credits
to those who buy bonds from local school systems.
In the current political context, the Democrats' new approach seems an
unqualified triumph. It responds to Republican calls for big tax cuts
while upholding the traditional Democratic preference for initiatives
aimed at working Americans and earmarked for specific purposes.
Yet, over the long term, the tax-and-credit approach may not be so wise.
Far from representing a new "third way," targeted tax breaks
are among the oldest and largest components of U.S. social spending.
They are also among the most wasteful and inequitable. Before embracing
them, advocates of expanded social assistance should think about whether
they wish to add to the scores of hidden entitlements lurking in the
tax code rather than reexamine them.
For all their allure, tax breaks are fundamentally the same as direct spending.
As Stanley S. Surrey, a former Treasury official, first emphasized,
special tax breaks or "tax expenditures" do just what spending
programs do: subsidize a group of taxpayers or a favored activity. The
only difference is that tax breaks reduce the amount that recipients
pay in taxes rather than provide a cash grant. In fact, tax expenditures
are not just equivalent to spending. Most are equivalent to that much-maligned
spending known as "entitlements," because any taxpayer who
meets the criteria for receiving a tax break automatically gets it.
This has not, of course, dulled politicians' enthusiasm for tax breaks.
In 1995, according to political scientist Christopher Howard, tax expenditures
with social-welfare aims cost roughly a third as much as all federal
spending on social programs. International evidence indicates that the
United States spends considerably more on social policy through the
tax code than do other nations. Indeed, if social-spending statistics
accurately reflected tax subsidies and burdens and included all the
private-welfare activities tax breaks subsidize, the United States would
have a social-welfare system comparable to Sweden's and larger than
Denmark's.
This alone may not cause concern. After all, many Democrats want the federal
government to do more to deliver services and protect citizens against
market risks. But two other features of tax expenditures should cause
worry: their relative lack of public visibility and their generally
regressive distributional effect.
Though tax expenditures appear in the federal budget, they do not feature
as prominently as direct spending in public debate. This is, no doubt,
a key reason for their political appeal: Lawmakers can smuggle into
law programs that might not survive the glare of the public spotlight.
Yet, the hidden character of tax breaks is a double-edged sword. It means
the complex assortment of spending programs embodied in the tax code
is never subject to public review, never weighed against competing priorities,
never given the scrutiny necessary to integrate multiple objectives.
As the tax code grows cluttered with spending initiatives, it becomes
more complex and less capable of achieving its basic goal of raising
revenue.
The lack of visibility of tax breaks also prevents them from gaining the
popular appreciation that the most celebrated social programs have.
Millions of Americans are grateful to the government every time they
get a Social Security check. How many even know about the multibillion-dollar
tax break for employer-sponsored pensions?
Perhaps most important, the hidden character of tax breaks allows gross
inequities in distributing social benefits. Imagine a politician proposing
a new health-insurance program that would provide $1,700 a year to families
with annual incomes between $ 100,000 and $200,000, and just $153 a
year to families with incomes between $10,000 and $20,000. Yet, that
is the approximate distribution of benefits provided by the special
tax treatment of employer-provided health insurance.
Because most tax expenditures lower taxable income, their value is greater
for individuals in higher tax brackets. Unless tax breaks are refundable
(as is the earned-income tax credit), poor Americans who pay no taxes
do not benefit at all. Many tax expenditures also require the itemization
of deductions, which only a third of taxpayers, usually the wealthiest,
do.
Tax breaks are typically regressive for another reason: They are worth
more to those who receive generous workplace benefits or have the means
to engage in tax-subsidized activities, such as buying a home. Many
tax expenditures are designed to subsidize fringe benefits provided
by employers, such as health insurance and pensions. Yet, coverage under
employer programs is highly skewed, with low-wage workers covered less
often and less generously than their better-paid counterparts. To make
matters worse, the provision of fringe benefits is declining rapidly
among lower-income groups. In fact, inequality in the distribution of
fringe benefits has outpaced the growth of wage inequality for more
than a decade.
The tax code will never be a political demilitarized zone. Even if it were
possible to eliminate all the hidden subsidies for social benefits,
few Americans would want to. Indeed, tax breaks have occasional advantages
over direct spending. They carry little stigma, and most are administered
by a single agency that, whatever else might be said about it, is eminently
capable of assessing eligibility.
But the reality that tax expenditures will always be part of U.S. social
policy does not condemn us to the current unsatisfactory structure of
tax benefits or to the present blinkered political debate. Tax expenditures
with social-policy goals--and the "private welfare state"
of employer-provided benefits that they underwrite--should be openly
debated, and explicit comparisons made between direct-spending programs
and tax expenditures designed to fulfill similar purposes. Without this
scrutiny, politicians will continue to consider cutting programs that
disproportionately benefit citizens in the lower half of the income
distribution while maintaining or expanding tax breaks that benefit
those in the upper half.
Even modest reforms would help. To make tax expenditures less regressive,
tax deductions (which lower income and are thus worth more to taxpayers
in higher brackets) could be replaced with tax credits (which lower
taxes by a fixed amount). Tax credits could, in turn, be made refundable,
allowing those whose tax burdens fall below the amount of the credit,
or who pay no taxes, to claim benefits. Eligibility for some benefits
could be phased out at higher incomes, for example, by making subsidies
for social services available only to those who spend a high percentage
of income on them. And the value of tax benefits could be capped at
reasonable levels, preventing wealthy Americans from buying, say, million-dollar
homes with tax-subsidized dollars.
Surely the political barriers to new spending programs are daunting. Surely,
too, Clinton should be commended for trying to assist lower-income Americans
who continue to struggle to pay for education, child care, medical costs
and saving for retirement. Yet, despite efforts to overcome the inherent
limits of tax-based social programs, the president's proposals threaten
to weigh down an already burdened revenue code with a mess of loosely
connected programs that promise little to the most disadvantaged and
fail to elicit much public enthusiasm.
It may well be that the new social-policy strategy of Clinton and congressional
Democrats is all that is possible. But if Americans and their leaders
had a true debate about the uses and limits of tax policy as an instrument
of social protection, perhaps they would recognize that the hidden spending
submerged in our tax code is just as real, and far less fair, than the
public social programs that are the cause of so much dispute.
Copyright 2000, Los Angeles Times
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