Through the smoke of villages burned by Serbs in Kosovo and cities bombed by
the North Atlantic Treaty Organization across Yugoslavia, a conflict over the
basic norms of world order can be discerned. The U.S. and its allies claim that
the right of ethnic Albanians in Kosovo to a high degree of self-determination
justifies foreign interference in Yugoslavia's domestic affairs. Yugoslav President
Slobodan Milosevic insists this is an invasion of a sovereign state. Belgrade
is backed by Russia and China, both fearful of a precedent being set for outside
intervention in rebellious provinces like Chechnya and Tibet. The fight in the
Balkans, then, is more than a war between nations; it is a war between the principles
of self-determination and sovereignty.
Self-determination is the principle that each nation has the
right to govern itself. In practice, this means people should be governed by
those who share their nationality defined by language, religion, descent or
some other aspect of identity. For members of one ethnic group to rule another
is presumed to be illegitimate by today's notions of political justice.
The principle of sovereignty holds that states should be equal
in privileges, even if they are unequal in wealth and power. The modern conception
of sovereignty originated in Europe in the 17th century. It was extended to
the non-European world after World War II, when the European colonial empires
in Africa, the Middle East and Asia were broken up. In earlier eras the concept
of sovereignty made little sense, for the usual form of political organization
was the hierarchical empire. According to the theory of sovereignty, the first
privilege of a state is the integrity of its territory.
Self-determination and sovereignty are not always in tension.
In nation-states made up of a single or dominant nationality, sovereignty and
national self-determination may complement each other. But the two can collide,
as in Kosovo, where the conflict between sovereignty and self-determination
is present in its most acute form. If the sovereignty of the existing Yugoslav
state is to be respected, then its borders must remain intact, even if the international
community establishes a protectorate over part or all of Kosovo. If the international
community acknowledges the Kosovars' right to self-determination, the result
should be partition of Yugoslavia and the independence of Kosovo. The choice
between protectorate and partition as the outcome of the war is thus a choice
between sovereignty and self-determination.
The puzzle of what to do in a situation like this first confronted
U.S. policymakers after World War I. President Woodrow Wilson and leaders of
the victorious Allied powers had to decide what political units would replace
the Austrian Hapsburg and Ottoman Turkish empires, which had collapsed. Both
had ruled sections of the Balkans; both had been multinational.
While championing national self-determination, Wilson did not
originate the idea, which dated back to the late 18th century, and had led to
the unifications of Germany and Italy in the 1800s. Nor was Wilson responsible
for turning World War I into a crusade to break up the Hapsburg and Ottoman
empires. In fact, in January 1917, when the U.S. was still neutral, Britain,
France and the other Allies demanded "the liberation of the Italians, as also
of the Slavs, Romans and Czecho-Slovaks from foreign domination." What is more,
Wilson was willing to accept guarantees of autonomy short of sovereignty for
ethnic minorities within larger units. In his 14 Points, Wilson declared only
that "the peoples of Austria-Hungary should be accorded the freest opportunity
of autonomous development." By contrast, Wilson favored "an independent Polish
state." Wilson recognized that in the Balkans, the mingling of different ethnic
groups made it difficult to draw clean lines for new nation-states.
Despite this, the result of World War I in the Balkans, Central
Europe and the Middle East was the partition of empires into successor states,
some of which, like Yugoslavia, contained several nationalities. The plight
of ethnic Germans outside Germany, and ambitions of groups like the Hungarians
and Croats, gave Adolf Hitler an excuse to intervene abroad, increasing not
only the influence but the borders of the Third Reich. Following World War II,
the minority problem in Central Europe was settled in a most brutal fashion:
by the mass transfer of populations.
For 50 years, the communist regimes of the Soviet Union and
Tito's Yugoslavia, both multinational countries, managed to suppress ethnic
conflicts, but, with the end of the Cold War, both split up along regional and
ethnic lines. In response, the U.S. departed from the policy it had supported
in Europe since Wilson. President George Bush, and many other Western leaders,
initially opposed the breakup of the Soviet Union. Then, a few years later,
many U.S. and European leaders opposed the secession of Croatia, Slovenia and
other former territories of Serb-dominated Yugoslavia.
If Wilson's policy favored self-determination at the expense
of sovereignty, post-Cold War U.S. administrations have argued that ethnic minorities
should have autonomy within the framework of larger, multiethnic sovereign states.
In frowning on partition and secession, U.S. policymakers were sensitive to
the fears of countries like Turkey, Russia and China, which worried that their
own ethnic minority regions might seek independence.
Some "realists" urge U.S. policymakers to abandon the idea of
national self-determination and treat state borders, however arbitrary, as sacrosanct.
In this view, it is no concern of the U.S. if Tibetans, Kurds, Albanian Kosovars,
Palestinians and East Timorese are ruled by people of a nationality other than
their own. The U.S. government, though, has tried to balance the imperative
of preserving existing borders while acknowledging the legitimacy of national
self-determination. In Iraq and the Balkans, the U.S. has sought to follow a
course like the one promised (but not followed) by Wilson: encouraging "the
freest opportunity of autonomous development" for ethnic groups, short of statehood.
The 1995 Dayton accords rejected the partition of Bosnia in
favor of a complex formula of autonomy-without-sovereignty. The accords, yet
to be implemented, call for a constitutional Rube Goldberg machine: the division
of Bosnia into a Bosnian-Croat federation and a Serb section sharing a common
federal government, including a rotating presidency in which Bosnian Croats,
Serbs and Muslims are all represented. The Rambouillet agreement, which the
U.S. tried to impose on Yugoslavia, was based on the same principle of autonomy
for Kosovo short of formal independence. Under the peace terms offered by NATO,
Kosovo would be granted a high degree of autonomy but not independence, the
refugees would be allowed to return and an international peacekeeping force
stationed in Kosovo.
As Switzerland, Belgium and Canada prove, complex federal systems
can enable two or more nationalities to coexist under a single government. In
Lebanon, however, an intricate constitutional compromise between Muslims and
Christians broke down into decades of civil war. Foreign military forces under
the auspices of NATO or the United Nations would be stationed in Kosovo to prevent
such an outcome. Thus Milosevic's Yugoslavia would have to surrender some of
its sovereignty, allowing foreign forces on its soil, to preserve the basis
of its sovereignty: its territorial integrity.
U.N. protectorates over countries ravaged by internal war are
nothing new. But they have been more successful in restoring peace and stability
to nation-states experiencing nonethnic civil wars, like Cambodia, than in reuniting
territories divided along ethnic lines, like the Palestinian Mandate in the
1940s, Lebanon and Cyprus. In cases of ethnic warfare, peacekeeping missions
have become more or less permanent, because communal violence would resume if
they left. Indeed, the departure of U.N. personnel in 1994 permitted the genocidal
slaughter of as many as a million people in Rwanda.
The alternative to a policy of creating costly international
protectorates until permanent peace can be restored would be the formal partition
of those entities along ethnic lines. This involves tremendous costs, such as
forced population transfers. But the costs of never-ending low-level war may
be so great that amputation would be the most humane form of surgery. The partition
of a country may violate sovereignty but fulfill self-determination.
Which will it be: preserving existing borders in Yugoslavia
at the price of an international protectorate, or carving out one or more new
nation-states at the expense of existing borders? In the final analysis, the
choice between protectorate and partition, between Yugoslav sovereignty and
Kosovar self-determination, may be settled in the U.S. or in other major NATO
powers, not on the battlefield.
Of the two options, partition is cheaper, from the perspective
of Washington and its allies. It would be easier to equip the army of an independent
Kosovo to defend itself than to station foreign troops there for years or even
decades. What is more, as the Korean War and Gulf War showed, it is easier to
rally international support to prevent a cross-border invasion of one sovereign
state by another than to intervene in relations between a capital and a province.
The choice in the Balkans, then, is not between principle and
amorality, but between two competing principles: self-determination and sovereignty.
Putting sovereignty above self-determination leads to a protectorate over Kosovo;
putting self-determination over sovereignty leads to a Kosovo independent of
Serb-controlled Yugoslavia. Those who must live with the choice are in the Balkans;
but it is a choice the NATO allies ultimately have the power to make.
Copyright 1999, Los Angeles Times
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