Over the last eighteen months, there has been much discussion in Congress, on
editorial pages, and throughout the country of the steel import surge. The Clinton
administration released with some fanfare its plan for addressing the steel
industry's problems and the Congress considered legislation to sharply limit imports.
Out of the spotlight and under a little known law dubbed Section 201 of U.S. trade law,
however, an almost unnoticed administrative process has been working to address one part
of the steel crisis, the problems caused by steel wire rod imports. Within a few days, the
Clinton administration is expected to issue its final decision on whether and how to
restrict imports of steel wire rod, but regardless of this decision Section 201 deserves
much more attention from U.S. policymakers.
Section 201 -- referred to internationally as the escape clause
-- has been around since the beginning of modern trade agreements. Early on, trade
negotiators realized that lowering tariffs and eliminating trade barriers would from time
to time cause serious economic dislocations sparked by a surge imports. To preserve
political support for free trade and to avoid unnecessary dislocations trade agreements
included an escape clause that allowed trade barriers to be temporarily raised to allow a
domestic industry facing severe import competition time to adjust. In the United States,
escape clause actions are considered under Section 201.
Relief under Section 201 is far from automatic. In order to qualify for
relief, imports must be causing serious injury to a domestic industry as judged by the
U.S. International Trade Commission. Even then, the President makes the final decision on
whether or not to grant relief after considering other factors such as foreign reaction
and impact on the U.S. economy. Unlike some other proposals made to limit imports, Section
201 is entirely consistent with U.S. obligations under the World Trade Organization (WTO)
and other international trade agreements.
Despite the seemingly obvious appeal of consistency with international
law, Section 201 has fallen into disuse in the United States. In the 1970s and early
1980s, a number of Section 201 actions were taken by the United States, but in recent
years Section 201 seems to be forgotten. This summer, President Clinton did opt to
restrict imports of lamb for three years, but this is one of only five import limitations
under Section 201 since the early 1980s and all have been of relatively minor products. If
successful, the steel wire rod case would be the first example of relief being granted to
a manufacturing industry in fifteen years.
If this trend were the result of U.S. industries not facing problems
from imports, it would hardly be cause for concern. Unfortunately, that does not seem to
be the case. The steel import surge is only the latest import problem to effect industries
from semiconductors to wheat, but Section 201 is no longer seen as a realistic solution
for at least two reasons. First, U.S. law actually requires a higher threshold for serious
injury resulting from imports than is required by the WTO; U.S. law requires that imports
be the largest single cause of injury. Since industries suffering from import competition
often face other economic problems ranging from technology changes to recessions, this
test can be difficult to satisfy. Second, the President is granted complete discretion to
waive relief even for an industry seriously injured by imports if he feels appropriate. A
number of industries, including copper producers and footwear manufacturers, have proven
that they meet the serious injury test only to have the President opt for no relief.
What is most troubling about the decline of Section 201 is that it has
worked well. In two cases from the early 1980s, motorcycles and steel, temporary import
limits allowed the industry to adjust and become more competitive to the point that the
industries were able to thrive and create jobs without import limits. The temporary
breathing room provided by Section 201 allowed the industry to regain its competitive
health without further job losses.
Section 201 also seem to fill an important political need. As the steel
import crisis demonstrated, a surge in imports can also spawn resistance to free trade
witnessed by the House of Representative's vote to impose quotas on steel even though
such restrictions seemed to violate the WTO. As the creators of the world trading system
recognized, if there is not an escape valve to deal with surges of imports in order to
allow adjustment, resistance to free trade and the organizations like the WTO will build.
Ultimately, the world trading system could be endangered. Section 201 is the escape valve
to release this pressure in the United States.
In a few days, the Clinton administration will make its decision in the
steel wire rod case. Though it may attract little public notice, this will be one of the
most important trade policy decisions this administration will make. If it allows Section
201 to further fall into disuse, it will be speeding the erosion of a fully WTO consistent
trade device that has the potential to encourage positive adjustment while preserving
support for free trade. This decision is an excellent opportunity for the administration
and the Congress to begin a long overdue effort to once again make Section 201 a central
part of U.S. trade policy.
Copyright 1999, The Washington Times
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