In response
to the Gaza
cease-fire, Middle East Expert Daniel Levy of the
Prospects for Peace Blog, offers "Ten Comments on the
Gaza Cease-Fire and What Next". Daniel Levy
is a senior fellow and director of New America
Foundation/Century Foundation Middle East Initiative. During
the Barak Government, he worked in the Prime Minister's Office as special
adviser and head of the Jerusalem Affairs unit under Minister Haim Ramon. From
March 2000 to March 2001, he worked as senior policy adviser to former Israeli
Minister of Justice, Yossi Beilin, where he was responsible for coordinating
policy on various issues including peace negotiations, civil and human rights,
and the Palestinian minority in Israel.
"Ten Comments on the
Gaza Cease-Fire and What Next" appears on Daniel Levy's
Prospects for Peace Blog, and highlighted here are some of his comments on the
cease-fire:
"Reports are emerging from the region that
the long awaited truce effort mediated by Egypt
between Israel and Hamas
(representing all the Palestinian factions in Gaza) is reaching closure. . ."
"The
next 24-48 hours will be crucial and tense, and will determine whether the
cease-fire even begins let alone holds. . ."
"Any
cease-fire will include a package that extends beyond the basic cessation of
hostilities. The package will include: (a) the easing of the closure on the
Gaza Strip thus allowing not only essential supplies to enter Gaza but also
materials that allow the Gazan economy to gradually return to some kind of
normality; (b) greater efforts to prevent weapons from entering the Gaza Strip
from Egypt for use against Israel; (c) progress on the prisoner exchange deal
for the release of Gilad Shalit, the IDF soldier who next week will mark two
years of being held in Gaza. . ."
"The
most obvious deal breaker would be for a relatively minor infraction such as a
rogue rocket attack or pinpoint Israeli mission to usher in a cycle of
counter-response and therefore escalation. . ."
"Let
there be no doubt that this is an Egyptian mediated deal between Israel
and Hamas. . ."
"This
much is clear: the U.S. has been noticeably absent from all the major
recent diplomatic developments in the region-the Qatari brokered Lebanon deal,
the Turkish sponsored Israeli-Syrian proximity talks and now this Egyptian
mediated cease-fire. Secretary Rice was in Lebanon yesterday and did
welcome the new developments within that country, perhaps suggesting that the
State Department at least is taking a more realist approach and is happy to see
others pursue diplomatic solutions that are opposed by conflicting elements
within the U.S. administration, but that can be welcomed by the Secretary of
State after the fact as fait accomplis. .
."
Further
information. . .
Daniel Levy's full bio: http://www.newamerica.net/people/daniel_levy
The Prospect for Peace Blog: http://www.prospectsforpeace.com/
The Middle East Policy Initiative (activities, analysis,
events and press): http://www.newamerica.net/programs/american_strategy/middle_east_initiative
To arrange an interview with Daniel
Levy, contact: Erin Drankoski,
202-997-8727,
drankoski@newamerica.net