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Peter Bergen in Election News from CNN.com | " Reality Check: How Clear is McCain's Crystal Ball?"

May 16, 2008

. . . Terrorism analyst Peter Bergen took aim at McCain's bin Laden prediction.

"Maybe some key lieutenants, but bin Laden has not made the mistakes to get caught or killed, and we haven't had actionable information on where bin Laden is since the battle of Tora Bora in 2001," Bergen said.

Bergen pointed out that President Bush has said the United States and its allies would get bin Laden, but has put no timetable on it -- and Bush has access to daily intelligence reports.

"There still has not been a major terrorist attack in the United States since September 11, 2001," McCain said in Thursday's speech.

It is something that Bergen believes is more plausible.

"The American public is more vigilant ... The United States government has made it safer. It's harder to get into the U.S. if you're a terrorist. Al Qaeda isn't the same organization it was on September 11 of 2001, even though it has resurged recently," he said. . .

Peter Bergen is a Schwartz Senior Fellow with the New America Foundation.

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