Afshin Molavi: All Related Content

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China Forges Arab Ties, Hedging Bets In The Gulf | The Associated Press

February 7, 2012

"If you were to look at the Iran-China relationship in a vacuum, you'd say China imports fairly large quantities of oil" from Iran, said Afshin Molavi, a senior fellow at the New America Foundation specializing in the Middle East.

Tehran is Feeling the Oil Squeeze

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
January 27, 2012 |

While winter is in full swing in Tehran with snow blanketing the capital, senior officials of the Islamic Republic can be forgiven for feeling hot. Over the past three weeks, the major powers have dramatically turned up the pressure on Iran over its nuclear programme. We have now entered the oil-squeeze phase.

Iran's Threats to Close the Strait of Hormuz More Theater than Reality

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
January 9, 2012 |

Chest-thumping threats by senior Iranian officials in recent days to close down the Strait of Hormuz sound like the proverbial cutting off one's nose to spite one's face. Iran's economy is overwhelmingly dependent on oil sales, most of which moves through the Strait to markets in Asia and Europe. A shut-down of the Strait would largely close the taps on Iran's own oil sales.

The Death and Rise of the Soviet Model

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
December 26, 2011 |

On a cold, grey Moscow winter day exactly 20 years ago, the red hammer and sickle Soviet flag was lowered at the Kremlin for the last time. The Soviet Union had died. The world's second most powerful state had crumbled under the weight of a bankrupt ideology, bankrupt finances and courageous self-determination movements across Eastern Europe. The Communist behemoth, once seen as the most dangerous foe of the western world, fell with a whimper.

The Inventions of Newt Gingrich and Palestine

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
December 12, 2011 |

The half-educated man is dangerous because, as the adage goes: "Knowing a few things, he thinks he knows everything." There is bizarrely something of the half-educated man in the Republican presidential candidate and front-runner Newt Gingrich. A PhD "historian", Mr Gingrich certainly "knows" a few things. In fact, he has impressed audiences in debates with sweeping historical references and a seemingly assured command of policy details. This has partly contributed to the Gingrich surge, catapulting him into first place in many Republican polls.

The Tragedy of the Euro and the Middle East

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
December 1, 2011 |

For the past several years, Italy under Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi resembled a political comic opera, with a larger-than-life character of ravenous appetites and tragic hubris. But the recent "political death" of Mr Berlusconi represents only the end of Act One. Two more acts remain, and this drama could turn from comedy to tragedy quickly.

Bashar Assad's Arab Winter

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
November 14, 2011 |

Yesterday marked 41 years since a young and ambitious Syrian defence minister and air force officer executed a bloodless coup, taking over the post of prime minister. It was the 10th coup in 17 years in a country riven by factionalism and bitter disputes among senior military officers. Less than a year later, he was anointed president.

China's Bubble Has Kept More Than its Own Economy Afloat

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
October 31, 2011 |

Is China a bubble?

This question - once the domain of a small group of China sceptics in the global investment community - has gone mainstream. Time magazine posed the question on its cover, warning its readers to "Be Very Afraid of the China Bubble". Global news agencies such as Reuters and Bloomberg are raising troubling questions about China's over-leveraged banks, inflated housing prices and highly indebted local governments. A Wall Street Journal columnist recently wrote: "Forget Greece. Forget Italy. Forget 'Occupy Wall Street', The really ominous news right now? China."

Broken Promises Unite Middle Class Protest Movements

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
October 18, 2011 |

We all know the details of the story by now: a young Tunisian vegetable vendor loses his licence to work because of predatory local police; he refuses to pay a bribe; he complains at the municipality; they tell him to get lost; he lights himself on fire; a nation erupts; a leader falls; the Arab uprisings begin.

Analysis: Gulf, Asia Economic Links Yet To Fulfill Rich Promise | Reuters

October 17, 2011

Afshin Molavi, a senior research fellow at the New America Foundation in Washington, said neither Asia nor the Gulf had effectively promoted integration through social, cultural and religious links. Elites in both regions typically send their children ...

An Increasingly Isolated Iran Seems Just As Divided Within

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
October 3, 2011 |

The Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is not much of a student of American history. It might be useful, however, if he heeds the words of the late American Vice President Hubert Humphrey, who once said: "Propaganda, to be effective, must be believed. To be believed, it must be credible. To be credible, it must be true."

UN Vote Adds Little to 20 Years of Failure in Middle East Peace

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
September 19, 2011 |

Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas's momentous decision to seek statehood at the United Nations has been interpreted in many ways: a bold, decisive move to force Israel's hand and level the playing field in future negotiations; a risky diplomatic gambit that will achieve little in the face of a certain US veto and will fuel tensions in an already volatile environment; a watershed moment in the Palestinian struggle for self-determination. Mostly, however, the move is an acknowledgement of failure.

A Development Bank for the Region that Arab Youth Need

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
September 5, 2011 |

'Nothing is as powerful as an idea whose time has come," the French writer Victor Hugo said. But we might add an equally important political corollary: nothing is as powerful as a crisis to propel an idea forward.

The Arab world is in crisis. The events of the so-called Arab Spring have transformed the region in a year that has seen three governments fall, two more face serious and ongoing rebellions and others come face-to-face with a new age of uncertainty.

From India to Indiana, Gaps in Government Credibility Grow

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
August 22, 2011 |

Anna Hazare might be onto something. The 73 year-old Indian social activist has ignited a fire in his homeland over the issue of corruption. Advocating a tough piece of legislation aimed at rooting out the graft that is pervasive in the Indian state, the once jailed and now freed activist who models himself after the late Mohandas Ghandi has begun a hunger strike and led tens of thousands in protests across several cities.

Reality Check on Globalisation Leaves a New World of Distrust

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
August 9, 2011 |

There was a brief moment, in the go-go 1990s, when the world seemed less reliant on politics and politicians. Globalisation, we were told, was on the march. Markets - efficient and calculating and precise - would dictate our future, not politicians - venal, short-sighted and imprecise. As long as nations hopped on the chugging globalisation train, they, too, would benefit and the ride would be smooth.

World Affairs: Arab World Asked To Give as Africans Starve | Jerusalem Post

July 30, 2011

It's time Muslim and Arab organizations and governments stepped up to tackle this humanitarian disaster,” wrote Afshin Molavi, a senior fellow at the New America Foundation, in UAE daily The National. The Saudi-based Organization of Islamic Cooperation ...

Welcome Mat Rolls Up as Dubai Tries To Stem Dissent | The New York Times

July 27, 2011

“Dubai presented itself to the world as a trade, tourism, business and services hub,” said Afshin Molavi, a senior research fellow at New America Foundation in Washington. “It has demonstrated indisputable success in all of those fields. ...

Arab Countries Should Step Up To Save Lives in Somalia

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
July 26, 2011 |

Imagine a country with the longest coastline in Africa, bordering some of the busiest sea lanes in the world. Imagine this country has very wealthy neighbours just across the water, and a history of commercial links to faraway places as an old Silk Road trading post. If geography is destiny, then this country is fortunate indeed.

An Economic Awakening to Match a Season of Change

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
July 17, 2011 |

For many Arabs across the Middle East and North Africa, the so-called "Arab Spring" will bring a cold bout of economic uncertainty and decline. This is the grim truth of revolutions: they do not yield economic benefit in the short-run.

Rather, they usually make things worse.

U.S. Economic Power is Part of a Healthier Global Order

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
July 4, 2011 |

It is one of the most oft-used clichés of globalisation: "When America sneezes, the world catches a cold." Amid the 2008-2009 American financial crisis and recession, commentators and pundits dusted off that favourite saying as global markets felt the pain of America's storm.

Iran's Nuclear Plan Stirs U.S. Rancour | The National (UAE)

June 18, 2011

Afshin Molavi, a senior fellow with the New America Foundation, a Washington think tank, said there was a tendency for opinions to be "hysterical" on the topic of Iran. Reputations are not the only thing at stake. The reference to Mr Hersh's "bias ...

Prime Minister Erdogan: Turkey's Man of the People | TIME Magazine

June 17, 2011

"It's kind of unbelievable how well they've managed the economy," says Afshin Molavi, a senior fellow at the New America Foundation who specializes in Middle Eastern economies. "Turkey has become a darling among foreign investors. ...

Erdogan's Star Is Still Rising — and Turkey Is Willing To Follow

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
June 14, 2011 |

In the spring of 1999, the mayor of Istanbul, a rising young politician with Islamist leanings, was sentenced to 10 months in jail after falling foul of Turkey's powerful generals. This military elite, often referred to as "the deep state", had deposed four prime ministers since 1960, so taking on a mayor - even in a city as important as Istanbul - was routine business.

They charged him with "inciting religious hatred" for quoting a century-old poem with Islamist themes. Defiant, the mayor vowed to his supporters: "This song is not yet over!"

The Dividend of the Revolution is a Weaker Economy

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
June 8, 2011 |

When Egyptians took to the streets celebrating the departure of the long-reigning president Hosni Mubarak nearly four months ago, a wave of euphoria seemed to grip the country. A new dawn beckoned. Exhilaration abounded. The Egyptian people would decide their own destiny.

Today, while much of that pride remains, according to a newly released poll conducted by the Abu Dhabi Gallup Center, an undercurrent of anxiety about the economy and security has settled in. The dawn has broken, but the future is foggy.

Cutting Iran Down to Size

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
May 25, 2011 |

Ask an average Iranian what they think of Britain and the British and the responses will vary from cunning to cutthroat to clever. As a journalist based in Iran several years ago, I would often hear middle class Iranians rail against the British in one breath, and in the next breath, describe them as strategic masters controlling the world and goading, Rasputin-like, their overmuscled, impressionable “American friend” into wars and quagmires.

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