The United States faces historic challenges in surmounting the global financial crisis, adopting a strategy for long-term economic growth in the context of a rebalanced world economy, investing in the nation's intrastructure and productive economy and restoring the link between productivity growth and wages. To bring together the best and most timely thinking on these challenges to America and the world, the New America Foundation's Economic Growth Program, Next Social Contract Initiative and Smart Globalization Initiative put together the New American Contract.
Also read the New American Contract's blog Value Added.
Experts
Senior Fellow and Director, American Strategy Program
Steven Clemons directs the American Strategy Program at the New America Foundation, which aims to promote a new American internationalism that combines a tough-minded realism about America's interests in the world with a pragmatic idealism about the kind of world order best suited to America's democratic way of life. He… more
President
Steve Coll is president of New America Foundation, and a staff writer at The New Yorker magazine. Previously he spent 20 years as a foreign correspondent and senior editor at The Washington Post, serving as the paper's managing editor from 1998 to 2004.
Senior Research Fellow, Economic Growth Program
Director, Fiscal Policy Program & President, Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget
As President of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, which is housed at the New America Foundation, and the Director of the Fiscal Policy Program, Maya MacGuineas oversees the Foundation's efforts to bring accountability to the budget process, address the challenges presented by the nation's underfunded entitlements programs, and… more
Director, Global Strategic Finance Initiative
Doug Rediker is currently the Director of the Global Strategic Finance Initiative at the New America Foundation. This initiative focuses on the relationship between global finance, capital flows, and foreign policy, with a specific emphasis on the role of the U.S. in a multi-polar financial world. In 2007, he returned… more
Director, Economic Growth Program
Sherle Schwenninger directs the New America Foundation's Economic Growth Program, and the Global Middle Class Initiative. He is also the former director of the Bernard L. Schwartz Fellows Program.
Senior Research Fellow, Asset Building Program
Articles & Books
Recent New America-authored articles, op-eds and books on this topic are featured below.
Regular Harpers and Financial Times contributor Barry C.
Lynn paints a genuinely alarming picture: most of our public debates
about globalization, competitiveness, creative destruction, and risky
finance are nothing more than a cover for the widespread consolidation
of power in nearly every imaginable sector of the American economy.
There is widespread recognition that the financial crisis,
which triggered the Great Recession, was significantly due to financial
excess, particularly in real estate lending. Now, policymakers are
looking to reform the financial system in hope of avoiding future
crises. But like the drunk who looks for his lost keys under the
lamppost because that is where the light is, policymakers remain
fixated on capital standards because that is what is already in place.
Over the past several weeks, the US dollar's depreciation against the euro and yen has grabbed global attention.
In
a normal world, a weaker US dollar would be welcome, as it would help
the US come to grips with its unsustainable trade deficit.
But
because China links its yuan to the US dollar at an undervalued parity,
the US dollar's depreciation risks major global economic damage,
complicating the recovery from the worldwide recession.
The 650,000 jobs created or saved by the stimulus package so far
make up only a small step toward correcting the gap between the tens of
millions of unemployed people and the few openings that those people
are fighting over.
Even the administration's goal of creating
3.5 million jobs is far below what the economy really needs. With an
official unemployment rate of 10.2 percent, the gap between the number
of full-time job openings and the number of people who are unemployed
has widened.
Where are tomorrow's jobs going to come from? The question is more
urgent than ever, with official unemployment hovering around 10 percent
and with nearly one in five Americans unemployed, if you count
part-time workers who want full-time jobs and people so desperate that
they have given up looking for work entirely.
Over the last several weeks, the dollar's depreciation
against the euro and yen has grabbed global attention. In a normal
world, the dollar's weakening would be welcome, as it would help the
United States come to grips with its unsustainable trade deficit.
But, in a world where China links its currency to the dollar at an
undervalued parity, the dollar's depreciation risks major global
economic damage that will further complicate recovery from the current
worldwide recession.
Here's the
latest bold new idea for reconciling the costs of national defense with
the need to avoid adding to federal deficits or raising taxes. A
bipartisan coalition of "New Democrats" and moderate Republicans has
proposed buying weapons for the U.S. military through the IRS rather
than the Pentagon. Here's how it would work. Instead of being paid to
deliver planes, missiles and tanks, defense contractors would receive
"weapon supply tax credits" (WSTC). The defense contractors would be
According to official statistics, the unemployment rate in the United States is now 9.8 percent. But those statistics understate the severity of the jobs crisis. The official statistics do not include the 875,000 Americans who have given up looking for work, even though they want jobs. When these "marginally attached" workers and part-time workers are added to the officially unemployed, the result, according to another, broader governement measure of unemployment known as "U-6," is shocking. The United States has an… more
President
Obama's Nobel Peace Prize has been justified by some because it draws
attention to the goal he endorses of ridding the world of nuclear
weapons. I share that goal, but not because nuclear weapons are
uniquely horrible -- if you're a victim, it makes little difference
whether you're killed or maimed by nuclear weapons or conventional
weapons, which sometimes can create lingering illnesses and poison the
landscape, too. I support the abolition of nuclear weapons because, if
it were successful, it would lock in the advantages of… more
Over the past year the global economy has experienced a massive contraction, the deepest since the Great Depression of the 1930s. But this spring, economists
started talking of "green shoots" of recovery and that optimistic
assessment quickly spread to Wall Street. More recently, on the
anniversary of the Lehman Brothers crash,
Ben Bernanke, Federal Reserve chairman, officially blessed this
consensus by declaring the recession is "very likely over".
The man who would be known as Patient No. 1 emerged from routine open-heart surgery at Columbia University Medical Center in stable condition. Then he began to bleed uncontrollably. Surgeons rushed him back to the operating room to reopen his chest, but by the time they could stop the hemorrhaging, Patient No. 1 was barely breathing and in a coma.
On Aug. 15, 2000, shortly before he was discharged on his way to a nursing home, a physician wrote a… more
Our
guest today is Adam Smith, a major figure of the Enlightenment who is
widely considered to be the father of modern economic theory. He is a
former professor at the University of Glasgow and the author of "The
Theory of Moral Sentiments" (1759) and "An Inquiry into the Nature and
Causes of the Wealth of Nations" (1776), his best-known book. Professor
Smith joins us from Scotland.
While the
economic crisis continues to overshadow other topics, world politics is
undergoing rapid and dramatic changes. In areas from national security
policy to trade, the Obama administration has repudiated Bush-era
precedents significantly, if not rapidly enough for some critics on the
left. The pressures on the administration to continue in the path
followed by U.S. administrations since the fall of the Berlin Wall are
intense, particularly in light of the victory of the hard-liners in
Iran and new revelations about Iran's nuclear program. Even so,
In the spring of 2005, David Stockman at last reaped the reward of the monopolist.
Stockman, who once served as Ronald Reagan's budget director, spent
two decades on Wall Street preparing for this moment. After stints at
Salomon Brothers and the Blackstone Group, Stockman in 1999 set up his
own private investment fund, Heartland Industrial Partners. He then
used Heartland to shape a set of companies -- mainly in the automotive
sector -- each dedicated to dominating a particular group of production
activities.
During last year's Republican presidential primary season, candidate
Rudy Giuliani succinctly captured what millions of Americans think
about health care abroad. "These countries that say they provide
universal coverage -- they pay a price for it, you know," Giuliani told
his audience. "They do it by rationing care, by long waiting lines, and
by limiting, or I should say eliminating a patient's choice."
With official unemployment in the US hovering around 10 per cent,
and actual levels much higher when the underemployed and discouraged
are counted, the most urgent priority is job creation. But efforts to
get America working again must be informed by the striking fact that
most employment growth in the past decade has been concentrated in
three sectors: healthcare, education and government, mostly state and
local public services.
On Sept. 18, Irving Kristol died. On Feb. 27, 2008, William F. Buckley Jr. passed away. Kristol was known as "the godfather of neoconservatism," while Buckley was the founder of the "movement conservatism" of Goldwater and Reagan. The intellectual conservatism that they, in different ways, sought to foster had passed from the scene before they did.
Now and then a
moment occurs that clarifies the nature of American politics like a
flash of lightning over a prairie landscape. Such a moment occurred on
Sept. 9 during President Obama's televised address to a joint session
of Congress about healthcare. As the president explained that illegal
immigrants would not be eligible for benefits under the plan he
supported, Joe Wilson, a conservative Republican member of Congress
from South Carolina, shocked the chamber and the television audience by
shouting, "You lie!"
We are a full year removed from the September 15, 2008, bankruptcy
of Lehman Brothers, which sent the global financial system into a
tailspin, and yet just 10 days removed from one of the most dismal
unemployment reports in 80 years.
On the one hand, this is no
kind of celebratory one-year "anniversary," if you want to call it
that, and it was certainly no kind of Labor Day either. And they are
related.
Today is Labor Day, when we celebrate the wealth destroyers--at least if the libertarian right is to be believed.
All books, cover stories and other articles by New America authors can be found in the Publications section.
Events
How the World’s New Power Brokers Undermine Democracy, Government, and the Free Market
December 1, 2009
Financial Reforms, Jobs and Housing, the Dollar and the International System
November 13, 2009
A Bernard L. Schwartz Economic Symposium
October 17, 2009
Growth or Austerity, and Other Policy Choices
September 13, 2009
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-
The Macroeconomic Causes of the Financial Crisis and the Great Recession
July 22, 2009
Manufacturing, Comparative Advantage, and the Future of the American Economy
July 16, 2009
Financing America's Green Future?
July 9, 2009
What the "Green Shoots" Optimists are Missing
June 23, 2009
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The U.S.-China Trade Relationship
June 11, 2009
China, America and the Great Recession
May 17, 2009
Old Lessons and New Ideas to Bring Back Broad Prosperity
April 14, 2009
A Washington Monthly / Big Ideas for a New America Event
April 9, 2009
Will the U.S. Lead, Follow, or Stay on the Sidelines?
March 31, 2009
What Will Replace the American Consumer?
March 23, 2009
Staying Healthy, Wealthy and Wise in Challenging Times
February 9, 2009
The Lunacy of Highway Spending and the Forgotten Promise of Freight Rail
January 30, 2009
The Bankers Who Broke the World
January 28, 2009
Policy Papers
There
is widespread recognition that the financial crisis which triggered the Great
Recession was significantly due to financial excess, particularly related to real
estate. Now, policymakers are looking to reform financial systems in hope of
avoiding future crises. But like the drunk who looks for his lost keys under
the lamppost because that is where the light is, policymakers remain fixated on
capital standards because that is what is already in place.
The economy has lost 8 million jobs since the beginning of the recession. But because the population is growing, we need to create over 9.6 million jobs. Due to severe job loss and steady population growth, the unemployment rate has soared to 9.8%, nearly as high as during the early 1980s.
To read more, click on the slideshow below.
What the Government Can Do to Better Promote Job Creation
by Timothy J. Bartik
Jobs: What Can We Do?
by James K. Galbraith
The Time Has Come for Direct Job Creation
by L. Randall Wray
October 18, 2009
Back in 2007 we used to
refer to the current crisis as the "U.S. subprime crisis". But while it
was the area where troubles first emerged, the subprime mortgage sector turned
out to be only the tip of the iceberg. Today, the Lehman crisis of mid
September 2008 is still widely seen as the critical blunder that pushed the U.S. and world
economies off the cliff. And yet, the Lehman bust may have been no more than
just the trigger of an implosion of underlying financial… more
October 7, 2009
Fiscal
conservatives are opportunistically looking to use the recession induced spike
in the budget deficit to revive their crusade for fiscal austerity. The case
for fiscal austerity is based on flawed economic analysis and it is not
supported by thoughtful budget analysis. It was the wrong agenda before the
crisis and it is even more wrong now.
It might be called the "World's Scariest
Chart." It is a snapshot of the
fragile foundations of the American economy and the epic boulder it now finds
itself trapped beneath. The graph shows total debt outstanding in the United States,
both secured and unsecured, as a percentage of GDP. In 1981 it was a manageable
168 percent, in 1996 253 percent, and by the first quarter of 2009 with the
collapse of the housing and credit bubbles it had reached a staggering 373
percent of GDP.
"The Koizumi reforms" was one of the portmanteau concepts
most commonly bandied about in Japanese political debates in the summer of 2009
as the parties geared up for the August election. Japan had in fact embarked on its
neo-liberal agenda of deregulation and privatization well before the
charismatic Mr. Koizumi laconically offered his "no gain without pain" recipes,
but it was pushed with most enthusiasm during his premiership from 2001 to 2006.
August 25, 2009
Despite its aim, the European Trading Scheme (ETS) for carbon is widely regarded as an inefficient market. The initial design of the scheme has caused trading reactions that do not follow the pricing patterns of other, more efficient commodities.
Within ETS, it isn’t carbon’s price volatility that makes its market seem uncharacteristic of other commodities markets; commodity markets are often characterized by volatility. Instead, it is the fact that carbon’s price drivers are not so easily pinpointed and, therefore, its… more
Click here to download the full report.
German Chancellor Angela
Merkel has just completed her first official visit to Washington since President Barack Obama took up office. At home Mrs. Merkel has only a few months left to go until an
upcoming general election will determine her own political future. This was
surely one more reason to send a message of harmony with President Obama back
home, as the new U.S.
president, much in contrast to his predecessor, enjoys great popularity among
German voters. Elections aside, such harmonious gestures can hardly deflect
July 8, 2009
In recent weeks, new signs of an economic recovery have emerged in the
form of stock market rallies, surprisingly high bank profits, and
better-than-feared official unemployment and economic growth reports.
But accompanying these so-called green shoots is worrying evidence of a
recovery that could be compromised if not cut short altogether by high
levels of unemployment and by a long period of unusually weak and
uneven job creation. Not only is actual unemployment more severe than
is reflected in official measures, it is also concentrated in those
Recently, discussions around health care reform have begun in earnest among politicians and policymakers in Washington, D.C. and beyond. President Obama has spent the month of June hitting the trail and the airwaves making the case for reform, and legislators are now aiming to pass a health care reform bill sometime this summer. With the possibility of comprehensive changes to health care on the horizon, it is important for leaders and policymakers—as well as citizens—to understand the full argument for… more
Green investment is a major pillar of the president's economic recovery plan. Yet, America's dependence on foreign countries to produce green technologies may undermine this recovery strategy. Using a list of green goods derived from the Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) and the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC), we have determined that the United States ran an overall green trade deficit of -$8.9 billion in 2008, including a deficit of -$6.4 billion in the critical category of renewable energy,… more
Davos Man, by all accounts, is
worried. The severity of the global economic recession has alarmed many of the
architects of the global economy. Fears of resurgent economic nationalism are
rampant. At the same time, some world leaders - most prominently, French
President Nikolas Sarkozy, as well as German Chancellor Angela Merkel - argue
for instituting a new regime of regulation for the financial sector that will
be global rather than merely national in scale.
June 2009
This speech was delivered at The New School on May 19, 2009.
Views on the U.S. economy
On April 9, 2009, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
released five proposals for reinstating the uptick rule and initiated a
60-day public comment period. Now, nearing the end of that comment
period, the opinions of senators and financial commentators on the
proposed legislation must be ringing in the SEC's ears. Jim Cramer,
the host of the Mad Money TV program, spoke fervently in support of the
uptick rule during his May 4th broadcast while Senator Ted Kaufman,
another supporter, noted that SEC Chairwoman Mary Schapiro should… more
The 2008 presidential election was not about globalization
or U.S.
trade policy. However, the challenges facing the administration of President Barack
Obama-the financial crisis, the lengthening and deepening recession-are
inextricably bound up with America's
trading relationships. A "business as usual" trade policy will not deliver the economic
changes that President Obama has promised the public, nor restore Americans'
faith in their country's engagement with the global economy.
With the London Summit rapidly approaching, I urge
participants to take bold steps to address the fundamental structural issues in
global finance that have, in part at least, led to the current economic crisis.
I recognize that there remains a debate between those who believe that the
current economic environment compels a dramatic rethink of the foundations,
systems and structures upon which the global economy operates, and those who
believe that such sweeping reforms are both unnecessary and politically
In our
previous release (President
Obama's FY2010 Budget), we discussed the broad fiscal impact of the
FY2010 Budget Blueprint. We commended the President for having a specific
fiscal goal, honestly budgeting for expected costs, and for providing offsets
for many of the new policies he supports. However, we expressed strong concern
that the budget included items in the baseline (such as AMT patches, Medicare patches,
and the renewal of the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts), as a way to avoid paying for
Press
| The New 'Awkward Age' | Baltimore Sun | November 3, 2009 |
| Romer Predicts High Jobless Rate Through Election Year | Wall Street Journal | October 22, 2009 |
| Transportation Plan Looks at Rail Investment | Roanoke Times | October 14, 2009 |
| The Atlantic/Aspen Institute/Newseum event | The Atlantic | October 2, 2009 |
| The G20 Through Beer Goggles | Public Radio International | September 28, 2009 |
| Taming 'Animal Spirits' | National Review Online | September 28, 2009 |
| Climate Change: Off the G-20 Agenda? | The Nation. | September 23, 2009 |
| G-20 Preview | Connecticut Public Radio | September 23, 2009 |
| Your Health Plan's "Dr. No" | Smartmoney.com | September 22, 2009 |
| Financial Regulation | BusinessWeek | September 21, 2009 |
| Duggar Economics: The Costs of 19 Kids | Wall Street Journal | September 17, 2009 |
| Obama Pressed By Foreign, Domestic Issues | Washington Times | September 16, 2009 |
| Wall Street Still Central to Global Economy | Public Radio International | September 15, 2009 |
| The Vanishing American Consumer | CBS MoneyWatch.com | September 14, 2009 |
| State Predicts Bright Future for Jobs in Solar Energy | Boston Globe | September 8, 2009 |
| Obama Announces Retirement Plan for U.S. | Washington Times | September 5, 2009 |
| A(nother) public option | Tulsa World | August 30, 2009 |
| Budget Deficit and Economic Growth | WTOP | August 26, 2009 |
| The Pink Recovery | TIME | August 15, 2009 |
| Obama on Drive to Tackle Healthcare Rage | Financial Times | August 12, 2009 |
The Bigger Picture
The United States could help drive a new era of rising global prosperity and rapid economic growth -- fueled by new technologies and production processes -- that in turn could help alleviate many of the most daunting problems we face domestically and internationally. Yet inadequate investment in public infrastructure, the skills of our workforce, and research and development, combined with an unsustainable level of consumer debt, undermine our ability to promote sustainable economic growth. New America is developing an integrated strategy and specific policy proposals to overcome these problems and promote widespread growth and prosperity.
Recent New America articles, events, policy papers and press coverage on this topic are available below, as is information on our staff and fellows with expertise in this area. To learn more about New America's ideas, proposals and activities, please see our Economic Growth Program home page.