Venezuela
From Our Foreign Bureaus: Niger Plebiscite, Irish Turnaround, Taiwan Refers a Trade Pact, Chavez Scheming
California's meltdown has been so all-consuming that it's been awhile since this blog checked in on direct democratic goings-on overseas. So here goes.
IRISH VIEWS SHIFT ON LISBON: The Irish voted down the Lisbon Treaty -- the de facto new constitution for the European Union last year. Now a new poll -- in advance of a likely fall vote on the treaty -- shows growing support in Ireland for the treaty. What's changed? The country's once-strong economy has collapsed.
TAIWANESE REFERENDUM ON CHINA TRADE PACT: The pro-independence opposition in Taiwan announced it would collect signatures for a referendum on a new trade pact signed by the government with China.
NIGER PLEBISCITE: The leader of that African country, a producer of uranium, has dismissed the Parliament and is organizing a referendum on whether to change the constitution to permit him to serve a third term.
President For Life?
In the most closely watched referendum in the world this month, Venezuelan president Hugo Chavez won a plebiscite he sponsored to eliminate term limits, with 54 percent of the vote. This means he can run again for the presidency in 2012 -- and perhaps hold the office for the rest of his life. The opposition said it would not contest the results.
Chavez and His Plebiscite
Venezuealan president Hugo Chavez has employed direct democracy of a fashion, backing a series of plebiscites to enhance his own power. (His defenders point out that he has allowed himself to lose one of these plebiscites--so there). The latest referendum, scheduled for next month, would lift term limits and allow him to run for re-election. But it's not going well. Chavez, without evidence, is accusing President-Elect Obama of interfering in the vote. The Venezuelan president also wants tear gas used on his opponents, according to this Reuters story.
From Our Overseas Bureaus: Chavez and Putin Limit Referenda
SURPRISE, SURPRISE: A press group says Hugo Chavez is ignoring the defeat of his referendum and imposing new restrictions on the media.
DISPLACED UGANDANS: Displaced persons in Uganda want a voter referendum on a land issue because they don't trust the government to decide the question.
PUTIN CRACKS DOWN ON REFERENDUM RIGHT: The Russian Duma has passed legislation that would reduce the number of issues that can be put to a vote of the people in national referenda.
IRELAND SETS JUNE 12 FOR EU REFERENDUM VOTE: Ireland, the only EU country allowing its citizens to vote on the Lisbon Treaty, sets a date for the election.
$100 for the Oil/How Much for the Frustration?
Everyone's trying to forecast how Americans will react to oil at $104 a barrel. Yeah, yeah, cutting back on gas use, worried financial markets... But the overall mood is a defiant shrug, typified by the president, who told a renewable energy conference today that Americans have to “get off oil,” right after mentioning that he’d shown up in a motorcade of twenty cars. It’s fair to say that with neither a plan nor collective will to change, Americans will stay in oil’s motorcade.
However, while we’re watching ourselves, another possibly very significant conflict is forming in two of the most important oil-producing countries. After years of rising oil prices and escalating nationalist rhetoric, the poor in Venezuela and Iran are not getting what they were promised -- according to two separate but strikingly similar reports. Their reaction to rising prices, and increasing sense of disenfranchisement and disappointment, may ultimately force Americans out of the motorcade.
In Foreign Affairs, Francisco Rodriguez writes a fascinating and thoughtful article about Chavez’s failure to deliver oil money to the poor, despite years of talking and spending.
Rodriguez writes:
Andres Martinez: Venezuela's Cracked Veneer
Writing in Canada's National Post, New America Senior Fellow Andres Martinez reports on his recent travels in Hugo Chavez's Venezuela.
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CARACAS -- I don't like arriving in a new city early in the morning. You and the city are both still groggy, exposed; the pulse-racing anticipation of discovery is deadened by the overnight flight. It's like agreeing to go on a first date at 6 a.m. No, I'd rather make my first landing at night, when the shimmering lights only hint at what is soon to be unveiled.


