Oil

$110 Crude Goodbye for Man Who Said Gas Costs $10.07 a Gallon

March 13, 2008 - 1:37pm

Crude oil hit $110 today and it was an ironic farewell to Milton Copulos, late of the National Defense Council Foundation, who led a campaign to promote the "true" costs of gasoline over the past few years. I spoke with Milt in January and he gave me his latest estimate: We pay an extra $10.07 for every gallon we buy.

First, let me say that I never quite knew whether to trust his numbers -- after all, there really aren't any good numbers for the externalities of gas. But I found his background -- in defense,  the Heritage Foundation, and then alternative fuels -- intriguing, provocative and a good starting place for trying to figure out how much a gallon of gas really costs us. (Milt also offered a heck of an interview, ranging through housing stock in China to military plans to turn garbage into fuel, to his children, his wife, with time for a short primer on flash pyrolosis.)

Here's how he broke it the cost of of a gallon of gas:

WEDNESDAY ROUND-UP: There Will Be Blood

March 12, 2008 - 10:57am

PAGING DANIEL PLAINVIEW: In California, Assembly Democrats are moving forward with a plan to establish a state severance tax on oil to fund education. It might not pass the legislature -- the Golden State requires a two-thirds vote to raise taxes but it could end up on the ballot. And the proposal demonstrates where, with oil companies reporting record profits and states struggling to balance their budgets, legislators will look for new revenues.

The best evidence of this is in Arkansas, where politicians of both parties are competing to raise the severance tax. Gov. Mike Beebe is using the threat of a ballot initiative -- his aides say he is drafting one -- to demand that the severance tax on natural gas be raised. He wants the funds used to fix state highways. (Under severance taxes, states typically tax the market value of natural gas or oil at the time of extraction).

$100 for the Oil/How Much for the Frustration?

March 5, 2008 - 7:06pm

Everyone's trying to forecast how Americans will react to oil at $104 a barrel. Yeah, yeah, cutting back on gas use, worried financial markets... But the overall mood is a defiant shrug, typified by the president, who told a renewable energy conference today that Americans have to “get off oil,” right after mentioning that he’d shown up in a motorcade of twenty cars. It’s fair to say that with neither a plan nor collective will to change, Americans will stay in oil’s motorcade.

However, while we’re watching ourselves, another possibly very significant conflict is forming in two of the most important oil-producing countries. After years of rising oil prices and escalating nationalist rhetoric, the poor in Venezuela and Iran are not getting what they were promised -- according to two separate but strikingly similar reports. Their reaction to rising prices, and increasing sense of disenfranchisement and disappointment, may ultimately force Americans out of the motorcade.

In Foreign Affairs, Francisco Rodriguez writes a fascinating and thoughtful article about Chavez’s failure to deliver oil money to the poor, despite years of talking and spending.

Rodriguez writes:

Oil Reaches $100 a Barrel

February 19, 2008 - 7:00pm

Amid heightened inflation concerns, oil reached $100.10 a barrel yesterday due to a variety of causes. According to an analyst at Goldman Sachs, “Economic growth concerns have been trumped by long-term structural supply issues.”

Adam Sieminski, chief energy economist at Deutsche Bank, believes the main driver is "the huge volumes of money moving into oil and other commodities." Analysts at Barclays Capital say instability in Africa’s largest oil producer, Nigeria, also pushed prices higher.

Bloomberg – Oil Falls From $100 Record on Speculation U.S. Stockpiles Grew
Wall Street Journal – Weakening Demand? Oil Still Passes $100
Global Insight – Oil Prices Spike Back to Record Levels
European Central Bank – Assessing the Factors Behind Oil Price Changes
Cambridge Energy Research Associates – $100 Oil: Moving Deeper Into Uncharted Territory

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