Economic Growth

Value Added: Spend More, Get Less: The U.S. Healthcare System

NewAmericanContract.net — Wed, 11 Nov 2009 17:13:00 -0500

The U.S. is one of the only industrialized nations in the world without a healthcare system that provides universal primary coverage. However, OECD statistics show that the U.S. spends more - both publicly and privately - on health care than any other OECD country. We spend 16% of our GDP on healthcare each year - almost double the OECD average of 8.9%...

Value Added: State Budget Crises Part Deux: With a Vengeance

NewAmericanContract.net — Tue, 10 Nov 2009 17:21:00 -0500

A new report from the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities outlines new gaps in states' 2010 budgets, estimates the size of the shortfall in 2011, and considers the potential effects of additional federal assistance and continued stagnation in the nation's labor markets.

Heading into fiscal year 2010, which began on July 1, 2009, 48 states faced budget shortfalls that had to be addressed through a combination of spending cuts and tax increases (Montana and North Dakota are the exceptions; Vermont is the only state in the Union that does not have a balanced budget requirement). Now, about five months into FY2010, new gaps have opened up in 26 states, totalling $15.8 billion or 4.0% of those states' aggregate budgets. Leading the way is New York, with a brand-new $3.0 billion shortfall (5.4% of the state's total budget), while Arizona's $1.5 billion gap represents a whopping 15.4% of its total budget...

Value Added: U.S. Workers and Wages: The dark side of increased U.S. worker productivity

NewAmericanContract.net — Mon, 09 Nov 2009 18:47:00 -0500

On November 5th, the U.S. Department of Labor released an update on U.S. labor productivity that may be good news for the U.S. economy, but might not be for the American worker: in the third quarter of 2009, U.S. labor productivity increased by 9.5 percent annually, the highest increase in productivity since 2003.

According to Bureau of Labor Statistics, "Labor productivity, or output per hour, is calculated by dividing an index of real output by an index of hours of all persons, including employees, proprietors, and unpaid family workers." Productivity is output divided by input (hours worked), and can thus be increased in two ways: increasing the output, or decreasing the input...

Value Added: NIMBY and Infrastructure Investment

NewAmericanContract.net — Fri, 06 Nov 2009 15:22:00 -0500

There are many impediments to making progress on the new infrastructure investments that America desperately needs: the difficulty of securing financing (whether through new energy taxes, private-public partnerships, or tax-credit bonds); national and regional political dysfunction; and the inability to prioritize projects. To that list, add NIMBY ("Not in My Backyard"), local opposition to a proposal for new development...

Value Added: The Empire Builder

NewAmericanContract.net — Thu, 05 Nov 2009 17:39:00 -0500

A lot of people who normally don't take much notice of railroads were startled over the weekend when Warren Buffett, "the sage of Omaha," announced that he spending $26 billion to buy that last 77 percent of Burlington Northern Santa Fe shares he doesn't already own. Buffett described his investment as a big bet on the U.S. economy generally, and on BNSF, the nation's second largest railroad, in particular...

Value Added: Stim Saves 640,000 Jobs, Says White House

NewAmericanContract.net — Mon, 02 Nov 2009 18:42:00 -0500

One day after the Bureau of Economic Analysis announced that the U.S. had returned to GDP growth, the Obama Administration released new numbers about the job-creation effects of the Recovery Act. The federal stimulus program has saved or created just over 640,000 jobs through a combination of aid to state and local governments, infrastructure spending, and federal loans and grants to private businesses. (640,239 jobs to be exact, Joe Biden said this morning.)...

Value Added: High-Speed Rail: Clarifying the Vision

NewAmericanContract.net — Mon, 02 Nov 2009 18:36:00 -0500

The U.S. High Speed Rail Association's (HSRA) recent conference, High Speed Rail 2009, brought together policymakers, academics, and rail experts from around the world to outline a comprehensive plan for high-speed rail (HSR) in the United States. Good timing: as the Obama Administration prepares to roll out $8 billion in stimulus spending and an additional $5 billion, five-year annual appropriation for HSR, participants discussed how best to allocate the funds and how much more money is needed.

The HSRA's headline proposal: a 17,000-mile, coast-to-coast network with trains running at top speeds of 220 mph, built out over the next 20 years. Such a plan would cost $600 billion, the group estimates--$30 billion per year for 20 years...

Value Added: September Spending Confirms the Post-Clunker Slump

NewAmericanContract.net — Fri, 30 Oct 2009 19:50:00 -0400

By the looks of the September personal income data released this morning, we went back to the consumer slump in September. Cash for clunkers has officially clunked.

The decline in personal consumption expenditures was led by the decline in consumption of durables goods in the wake of Cash for Clunkers. At an annual rate, consumption of durable goods dropped by 47.2 billion, or 7% (see above). The overall decline in personal income expenditures showed a .5% decline...

Value Added: Executive Compensation and the "Real Economy"

NewAmericanContract.net — Wed, 28 Oct 2009 19:50:00 -0400

Yesterday, I attended a Georgetown Law-Aspen Institute session with "pay czar" Kenneth Feinberg (a title he says his Russian grandmother would have abhorred: he prefers Special Master for TARP Executive Compensation). The timing was propitious: just last week, Feinberg announced 2009 payment structures and restrictions for the top 25 executives at the seven firms that have received the most TARP cash (the murderers' row: Citigroup, Bank of America, AIG, General Motors, GMAC, Chrysler and Chrysler Financial). In yesterday's conversation with the FT's Clive Crook, Feinberg outlined the methodology he used to reach his conclusions, defended himself against criticisms of overreach, and described the next steps and larger implications of his decisions....

Value Added: Will House Prices Drop Another 20%? Case-Shiller and the Mean

NewAmericanContract.net — Tue, 27 Oct 2009 17:34:00 -0400

The Case-Shiller index reported higher than expected values in house prices in August for the largest 20 cities across the U.S. The gains came on the back of government tax credits and programs to increase lending.

But, prices may have further to fall. As you can see in the chart above from Haver Analytics and David Rosenberg, housing prices adjusted for inflation would have to fall by another 20% to reach their mean historical value...