A new Field Poll shows that Prop 8, the California ballot initiative to ban same-sex marriage, is in deep trouble. It has just 38 percent support of likely voters in the poll; 55 percent were opposed. The poll finds that the amended summary of the measure, emphasizing that the measure would eliminate a right, is a factor in the movement against the initiative.

And the big public campaign against the measure is just beginning; Brad Pitt announced a $100,000 donation to defeat Prop 8 yesterday, locking up the all important Thelma and Louise vote. I can count on the fingers of one hand the number of measures I've seen rebound from such polling to pass. It appears that same-sex marriage will remain a right in California. The one dark cloud on the horizon is: if opponents of same-sex marriage lose this time in California, will they return to the ballot and try again?