Not Enough Signatures
What's Jamiel's Law? It's a Los Angeles city initiative that would allow police to arrest illegal immigrant gang members for being in the country illegally. It seeks to overturn a Los Angeles Police Department order that prohibits officers from making contact with individuals for the purpose of determining their legal status. The initiative was inspired by the case of Jamiel Shaw, a 17-year-old who was shot and killed by a reputed gang member who also was an illegal immigrant.
The Los Angeles Times reports today that the initiative's sponsors have enough sigantures to qualify. But the facts of the story suggest the opposite is true--that the sponsors of Jamiel's Law have fallen short. How 's that? To qualify an initiative for the city ballot, sponsors need 73,963 valid signatures. They submitted 76,000. That's almost certainly not enough. Those signatures will have to be checked to be valid, and it's certain that some won't pass muster. A 70 percent validity rate for signatures is considered good in this day and age. 80 percent is excellent. But to make the ballot, Jamiel's Law would need a validity rate better than 90 percent. That's unheard of.
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